Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Pazarspor vs Duzcespor

Turkey Turkey

3. Lig Group 3
Our Tip

Match Events

7' Event
Celik A.
90' Event
Uzun O. F.
Assist: Senturk B.

AI Match Summary

Pazarspor host Duzcespor in the 3. Lig Group 3. Don't expect fireworks — both sides lean defensive. Duzcespor have shipped 0.88 goals a game lately, while Pazarspor have conceded 0.5 and scored 1. Past meetings favor Duzcespor slightly — 0-3-2 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Mar 29, 2026, ending 1:0. The numbers (0.94 xG vs 0.56) point toward Duzcespor. Under markets carry more value than backing a winner outright.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Pazarspor
33%
Draws
27%
Duzcespor
Draw rate projection: 33% Favored: Pazarspor

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / Medium Confidence
  • Pazarspor has accumulated more wins in recent fixtures compared to Duzcespor.
  • Model forecasts a 40% win probability edge for Pazarspor.
  • League standings and seasonal metrics in 3. Lig Group 3 provide steady trend data.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 50%
Over 2.5 Goals 24%
Over 3.5 Goals 0%
Over 4.5 Goals 0%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 22%
Pazarspor Clean Sheet 68%
Duzcespor Clean Sheet 16%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Pazarspor Duzcespor
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 11 10
Draws 10 7
Losses 10 13
Goals Scored 1 0.63
Goals Conceded 0.5 0.88
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 0.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.50 0.88

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 29, 2026 3. Lig Group 3
Duzcespor vs Pazarspor
1:0
Dec 7, 2025 3. Lig Group 3
Pazarspor vs Duzcespor
1:1
Feb 3, 2019 3. Lig Group 2
Pazarspor vs Duzcespor
0:2
Sep 16, 2018 3. Lig Group 2
Duzcespor vs Pazarspor
1:0
Mar 5, 2017 3. Lig Group 2
Pazarspor vs Duzcespor
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Pazarspor Compare

Top Goalscorer Celik A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.77
Avg xA / game 0.5

Duzcespor Compare

Top Goalscorer Uzun O. F.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.57
Avg xA / game 0.35

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Pazarspor 50 / 100
Duzcespor 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Pazarspor Duzcespor

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick PAZ Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Pazarspor scored in 61% of their last 31 games.

Duzcespor let in goals in 70% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 1.20 goals.

Pazarspor went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Duzcespor lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Pazarspor VS Duzcespor
1 Goals Scored 0.63
0.5 Goals Conceded 0.88
50% Over 1.5 50%
25% Over 2.5 13%
0% Over 3.5 0%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Sebat Spor Kulubu30207356:2367
252 Orduspor30184868:3058
3Karadeniz Eregli30169544:2957
4Yozgat30176758:2757
5Fatsa Bld.301541140:3249
6Zonguldak Komurspor301371048:3046
7Pazarspor301110929:3143
8Karabuk Idmanyurdu301251332:4741
9Duzcespor301171230:3640
10Tokat Bld Plevnespor301061431:3836
11Orduspor 196730971435:5134
12Amasyaspor30961528:4033
13Hopaspor30951638:5032
14Bulancakspor30851730:6029
15Cayeli SK30591625:4624
16Giresunspor30491721:4321