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Pazinka vs Crikvenica

Croatia Croatia

3. HNL West
Pazinka Logo

Pazinka

1 - 0
FT
Crikvenica Logo

Crikvenica

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The 3. HNL West game between Pazinka and Crikvenica finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Pazinka.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
Pazinka
15%
Draws
54%
Crikvenica
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Crikvenica

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

54% / Medium Confidence
  • Crikvenica carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Crikvenica are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Crikvenica have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67%
Pazinka Clean Sheet 16%
Crikvenica Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Pazinka Crikvenica
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 13 21
Draws 7 3
Losses 10 6
Goals Scored 1.23 2.2
Goals Conceded 1.33 0.9
Expected Goals (xG) 1.56 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 5, 2022 3. HNL West
Pazinka vs Crikvenica
1:0
Aug 28, 2021 3. HNL West
Crikvenica vs Pazinka
2:0
May 1, 2021 3. HNL West
Crikvenica vs Pazinka
6:0
Oct 17, 2020 3. HNL West
Pazinka vs Crikvenica
0:2
Sep 9, 2020 Croatian Cup
Pazinka vs Crikvenica
0:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Pazinka 10 / 100
Crikvenica 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Pazinka Crikvenica

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Crikvenica Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Pazinka scored in 67% of their last 30 outings.

Games between these two average 2.60 goals.

Solid form: Pazinka remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Defensive concern: Crikvenica conceded in 57% of 30 recent games.

Scoring Trends

Pazinka VS Crikvenica
1.38 Goals Scored 1.75
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.75
88% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 75%
13% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Pazinka

(Home)
08 Aug
Karlovac
1 : 1
Pazinka
28 May
Uljanik Pula
4 : 0
Pazinka
21 May
Pazinka
2 : 1
Cres
14 May
Naprijed Hreljin
0 : 1
Pazinka
07 May
Pazinka
0 : 2
NK Pomorac
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Crikvenica

(Away)
28 May
Crikvenica
2 : 0
Buje
21 May
Vinodol
0 : 1
Crikvenica
14 May
Crikvenica
2 : 0
Jadran Porec
07 May
Rudar Labin
1 : 3
Crikvenica
30 Apr
Crikvenica
1 : 3
Krk
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Crikvenica 26 18 2 6 53:24 56
2 Grobnican 26 16 7 3 66:23 55
3 Jadran Porec 26 16 6 4 59:22 53
4 Pazinka 26 12 5 9 31:33 41
5 Krk 26 12 3 11 40:42 39
6 Uljanik Pula 26 10 7 9 44:32 37
7 Novigrad 26 10 6 10 39:39 36
8 Rudar Labin 26 11 3 12 37:39 36
9 Cres 26 8 5 13 36:44 29
10 Nehaj Senj 26 7 8 11 26:40 29
11 Buje 26 9 2 15 22:36 29
12 NK Pomorac 26 7 5 14 32:62 26
13 Vinodol 26 5 9 12 31:47 24
14 Naprijed Hreljin 26 5 4 17 24:57 19
Promotion - Prva NL 2022/2023 (Main)
Promotion - 3. HNL - Promotion Play Offs (Main)