Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Pazinka vs Jadran Porec

Croatia Croatia

3. HNL West
Pazinka Logo

Pazinka

2 - 1
FT
Jadran Porec Logo

Jadran Porec

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Pazinka in this 3. HNL West matchup, with the score ending 2-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Pazinka.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

85%
Pazinka
15%
Draws
0%
Jadran Porec
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Pazinka

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Pazinka have won more games recently than Jadran Porec.
  • Model gives Pazinka a 85% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.8%
Pazinka Clean Sheet 20%
Jadran Porec Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Pazinka Jadran Porec
Matches Played 30 32
Wins 13 4
Draws 7 1
Losses 10 27
Goals Scored 1.23 0.84
Goals Conceded 1.33 2.41
Expected Goals (xG) 1.56 0.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 16, 2022 3. HNL West
Pazinka vs Jadran Porec
2:1
Oct 9, 2021 3. HNL West
Jadran Porec vs Pazinka
3:0
Apr 3, 2021 3. HNL West
Jadran Porec vs Pazinka
1:0
Sep 19, 2020 3. HNL West
Pazinka vs Jadran Porec
1:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Pazinka 85 / 100
Jadran Porec 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Pazinka Jadran Porec

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Pazinka Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Jadran Porec let in goals in 91% of their last 32 matches.

Jadran Porec's recent record shows 5 losses from the last 5 matches.

Pazinka found the back of the net in 67% of recent matches (30 games).

Games between these two average 2.25 goals.

Scoring Trends

Pazinka VS Jadran Porec
1 Goals Scored 0.88
1 Goals Conceded 2.13
100% Over 1.5 75%
0% Over 2.5 63%
0% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Pazinka

(Home)
08 Aug
Karlovac
1 : 1
Pazinka
28 May
Uljanik Pula
4 : 0
Pazinka
21 May
Pazinka
2 : 1
Cres
14 May
Naprijed Hreljin
0 : 1
Pazinka
07 May
Pazinka
0 : 2
NK Pomorac
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Jadran Porec

(Away)
26 Aug
Maksimir
3 : 2
Jadran Porec
31 May
Jadran Porec
1 : 2
Marsonia
24 May
Solin
6 : 0
Jadran Porec
17 May
Grobnican
2 : 0
Jadran Porec
10 May
Jadran Porec
1 : 2
Trnje
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Crikvenica 26 18 2 6 53:24 56
2 Grobnican 26 16 7 3 66:23 55
3 Jadran Porec 26 16 6 4 59:22 53
4 Pazinka 26 12 5 9 31:33 41
5 Krk 26 12 3 11 40:42 39
6 Uljanik Pula 26 10 7 9 44:32 37
7 Novigrad 26 10 6 10 39:39 36
8 Rudar Labin 26 11 3 12 37:39 36
9 Cres 26 8 5 13 36:44 29
10 Nehaj Senj 26 7 8 11 26:40 29
11 Buje 26 9 2 15 22:36 29
12 NK Pomorac 26 7 5 14 32:62 26
13 Vinodol 26 5 9 12 31:47 24
14 Naprijed Hreljin 26 5 4 17 24:57 19
Promotion - Prva NL 2022/2023 (Main)
Promotion - 3. HNL - Promotion Play Offs (Main)