Sport Picks

Stadium Background

PDRM FC vs Negeri Sembilan FA

Malaysia Malaysia

FA Cup MBPJ Stadium
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

PDRM FC play Negeri Sembilan FA in the FA Cup. Negeri Sembilan FA are favorites here. Recently, PDRM FC averaged 0.67 goals scored and 3.27 conceded. Negeri Sembilan FA averaged 1.48 goals scored and 1.39 conceded. In past meetings, PDRM FC won 2, Negeri Sembilan FA won 3, and they drew 0. Their last match on Mar 13, 2026 ended 1:6. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.38 for PDRM FC and 2.88 for Negeri Sembilan FA. This points to a Negeri Sembilan FA double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

22%
PDRM FC
21%
Draws
57%
Negeri Sembilan FA
Draw rate projection: 21% Favored: Negeri Sembilan FA

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

86% / Very High Confidence
  • PDRM FC picked up more points recently compared to Negeri Sembilan FA.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.38 vs 2.88 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 59%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 89%
Over 1.5 Goals 80%
Over 2.5 Goals 59%
Over 3.5 Goals 35%
Over 4.5 Goals 18%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 50%
PDRM FC Clean Sheet 10%
Negeri Sembilan FA Clean Sheet 10%
First Half Goal 72%
Second Half Goal 76%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric PDRM FC Negeri Sembilan FA
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 3 9
Draws 6 12
Losses 21 10
Goals Scored 0.67 1.48
Goals Conceded 3.27 1.39
Expected Goals (xG) 0.63 2.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 3.75 2.13

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 13, 2026 Super League
PDRM FC vs Negeri Sembilan FA
1:6
Oct 25, 2025 Super League
Negeri Sembilan FA vs PDRM FC
2:0
Sep 12, 2025 FA Cup
PDRM FC vs Negeri Sembilan FA
1:0
Aug 18, 2025 FA Cup
Negeri Sembilan FA vs PDRM FC
5:0
Mar 15, 2025 Super League
PDRM FC vs Negeri Sembilan FA
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

PDRM FC Compare

Top Goalscorer Azim F.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.48
Avg xA / game 0.32

Negeri Sembilan FA Compare

Avg xG / game 1.82
Avg xA / game 1.11

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

PDRM FC 22 / 100
Negeri Sembilan FA 53 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
PDRM FC Negeri Sembilan FA

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Negeri Sembilan FA Win (2)
Secondary Pick Negeri Sembilan FA & Over 2.5
First Half Result Draw (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +57.1%
7.14
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +11.5%
1.89
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

PDRM FC attacking → ← attacking Negeri Sembilan FA

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

PDRM FC scored in 53% of their last 30 games.

Negeri Sembilan FA let in goals in 77% of their last 31 matches.

Games between these two average 3.60 goals.

PDRM FC went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.

Negeri Sembilan FA lost 0 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

15 Points in last 5 39
0.63 Goals expected (xG) 2.00
3.75 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 2.13