Sport Picks

Spain

Tercera RFEF - Group 11 2024/2025

Alcudia

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Heatmaps Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

PE Sant Jordi play Alcudia in the Tercera RFEF - Group 11 2024/2025. It looks like a close match. Recently, PE Sant Jordi averaged 0.93 goals scored and 1.43 conceded. Alcudia averaged 1.42 goals scored and 1.56 conceded. In past meetings, PE Sant Jordi won 1, Alcudia won 2, and they drew 1. Their last match on Mar 23, 2025 ended 0:2. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.10 for PE Sant Jordi and 1.05 for Alcudia. This points to a Alcudia double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

32%

PE Sant Jordi

19%

Draws

49%

Alcudia

Draw rate projection: 19% Favored: Alcudia

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

77% / High Confidence

PE Sant Jordi picked up more points recently compared to Alcudia.
Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.10 vs 1.05 xG).
Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%

Over 1.5 Goals 73%

Over 2.5 Goals 44%

Over 3.5 Goals 26%

Over 4.5 Goals 13%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 44%

PE Sant Jordi Clean Sheet 22%

Alcudia Clean Sheet 14%

First Half Goal 66%

Second Half Goal 69%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	PE Sant Jordi	Alcudia
Matches Played	30	36
Wins	8	16
Draws	6	5
Losses	16	15
Goals Scored	0.93	1.42
Goals Conceded	1.43	1.56

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 23, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 11

PE Sant Jordi vs Alcudia

Possession: 58% - 47% Cards: 3 - 4

0:2

Nov 9, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 11

Alcudia vs PE Sant Jordi

Possession: 44% - 56% Cards: 4 - 1

2:0

Apr 11, 2021 Tercera RFEF - Group 11

PE Sant Jordi vs Alcudia

Possession: 44% - 56% Cards: 2 - 2

3:0

Feb 13, 2021 Tercera RFEF - Group 11

Alcudia vs PE Sant Jordi

Possession: 53% - 51% Cards: 3 - 3

0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

PE Sant Jordi Compare

Avg xG / game 0

Avg xA / game 0

Alcudia Compare

Top Goalscorer Nunez A.

1 Goals

Avg xG / game 0.91

Avg xA / game 0.56

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

PE Sant Jordi 33 / 100

Alcudia 47 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

PE Sant Jordi Alcudia

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Alcudia or Draw (X2)

Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals

First Half Result Draw (HT)

BTTS Outcome No (NG)

Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win

Value Edge +33.4%

4.17

Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals

Value Edge +15.7%

2.63

*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

PE Sant Jordi attacking → ← attacking Alcudia

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

PE Sant Jordi scored in 57% of their last 30 games.

Alcudia let in goals in 67% of their last 36 matches.

Games between these two average 1.75 goals.

PE Sant Jordi went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.

Alcudia lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

30 Points in last 5 53

0.00 Goals expected (xG) 1.00

0.00 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.00

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	UD Poblense	34	22	6	6	47:17	72
2	Constancia	34	18	13	3	55:31	67
3	Formentera	34	19	9	6	68:34	66
4	Porreres	34	17	11	6	51:32	62
5	Penya Independent	34	17	7	10	59:34	58
6	Platges de Calvia	34	14	12	8	51:37	54
7	Manacor	34	13	12	9	54:36	51
8	Alcudia	34	13	8	13	51:53	47
9	Binissalem	34	13	8	13	35:34	47
10	Llosetense	34	12	8	14	47:45	44
11	Santanyi	34	10	13	11	40:45	43
12	Mercadal	34	10	10	14	40:43	40
13	Felanitx	34	10	10	14	33:50	40
14	Collerense	34	9	12	13	42:48	39
15	Portmany	34	8	13	13	43:51	37
16	PE Sant Jordi	34	8	6	20	30:52	30
17	Campos	34	4	8	22	31:75	20
18	Migjorn	34	4	4	26	22:82	16