Sport Picks

Spain

Tercera RFEF - Group 11 2024/2025

Collerense

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Heatmaps Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

PE Sant Jordi play Collerense in the Tercera RFEF - Group 11 2024/2025. It looks like a close match. Recently, PE Sant Jordi averaged 0.93 goals scored and 1.43 conceded. Collerense averaged 1.18 goals scored and 1.74 conceded. In past meetings, PE Sant Jordi won 2, Collerense won 2, and they drew 1. Their last match on Feb 8, 2025 ended 1:1. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.54 for PE Sant Jordi and 1.05 for Collerense. This points to a PE Sant Jordi double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

39%

PE Sant Jordi

25%

Draws

36%

Collerense

Draw rate projection: 25% Favored: PE Sant Jordi

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / Medium Confidence

PE Sant Jordi picked up more points recently compared to Collerense.
Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.54 vs 1.05 xG).
Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%

Over 1.5 Goals 74%

Over 2.5 Goals 41%

Over 3.5 Goals 25%

Over 4.5 Goals 12%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 51%

PE Sant Jordi Clean Sheet 22%

Collerense Clean Sheet 10%

First Half Goal 67%

Second Half Goal 70%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	PE Sant Jordi	Collerense
Matches Played	30	34
Wins	8	7
Draws	6	11
Losses	16	16
Goals Scored	0.93	1.18
Goals Conceded	1.43	1.74

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 8, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 11

PE Sant Jordi vs Collerense

Possession: 48% - 42% Cards: 0 - 0

1:1

Sep 28, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 11

Collerense vs PE Sant Jordi

Possession: 49% - 51% Cards: 3 - 4

2:0

Jan 14, 2023 Tercera RFEF - Group 11

Collerense vs PE Sant Jordi

Possession: 56% - 42% Cards: 3 - 1

1:0

Sep 10, 2022 Tercera RFEF - Group 11

PE Sant Jordi vs Collerense

Possession: 48% - 54% Cards: 3 - 1

2:0

Feb 6, 2022 Tercera RFEF - Group 11

Collerense vs PE Sant Jordi

Possession: 43% - 46% Cards: 0 - 1

0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

PE Sant Jordi Compare

Top Goalscorer Rosillo I.

1 Goals

Avg xG / game 0

Avg xA / game 0

Collerense Compare

Top Goalscorer Riveron S.

1 Goals

Avg xG / game 0.91

Avg xA / game 0.56

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

PE Sant Jordi 40 / 100

Collerense 34 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

PE Sant Jordi Collerense

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: PE Sant Jordi or Draw (1X)

Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals

First Half Result Home Win (HT)

BTTS Outcome No (NG)

Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win

Value Edge +26%

3.23

Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals

Value Edge +17.3%

2.86

*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

PE Sant Jordi attacking → ← attacking Collerense

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

PE Sant Jordi scored in 57% of their last 30 games.

Collerense let in goals in 82% of their last 34 matches.

Games between these two average 1.60 goals.

PE Sant Jordi went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.

Collerense lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

30 Points in last 5 32

0.00 Goals expected (xG) 1.00

0.00 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.88

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	UD Poblense	34	22	6	6	47:17	72
2	Constancia	34	18	13	3	55:31	67
3	Formentera	34	19	9	6	68:34	66
4	Porreres	34	17	11	6	51:32	62
5	Penya Independent	34	17	7	10	59:34	58
6	Platges de Calvia	34	14	12	8	51:37	54
7	Manacor	34	13	12	9	54:36	51
8	Alcudia	34	13	8	13	51:53	47
9	Binissalem	34	13	8	13	35:34	47
10	Llosetense	34	12	8	14	47:45	44
11	Santanyi	34	10	13	11	40:45	43
12	Mercadal	34	10	10	14	40:43	40
13	Felanitx	34	10	10	14	33:50	40
14	Collerense	34	9	12	13	42:48	39
15	Portmany	34	8	13	13	43:51	37
16	PE Sant Jordi	34	8	6	20	30:52	30
17	Campos	34	4	8	22	31:75	20
18	Migjorn	34	4	4	26	22:82	16