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PE Sant Jordi vs Penya Independent

Spain Spain

Tercera RFEF - Group 11 2024/2025
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

PE Sant Jordi play Penya Independent in the Tercera RFEF - Group 11 2024/2025. It looks like a close match. Recently, PE Sant Jordi averaged 0.63 goals scored and 1.75 conceded. Penya Independent averaged 1.63 goals scored and 1.5 conceded. In past meetings, PE Sant Jordi won 0, Penya Independent won 2, and they drew 2. Their last match on Jan 25, 2025 ended 0:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.06 for PE Sant Jordi and 1.69 for Penya Independent. This points to a Penya Independent double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

4%
PE Sant Jordi
6%
Draws
90%
Penya Independent
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Penya Independent

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Penya Independent has accumulated more wins in recent fixtures compared to PE Sant Jordi.
  • Model forecasts a 90% win probability edge for Penya Independent.
  • League standings and seasonal metrics in Tercera RFEF - Group 11 2024/2025 provide steady trend data.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 81.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 22%
PE Sant Jordi Clean Sheet 13%
Penya Independent Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric PE Sant Jordi Penya Independent
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 8 12
Draws 6 8
Losses 16 10
Goals Scored 0.63 1.63
Goals Conceded 1.75 1.5
Expected Goals (xG) 0.63 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.75 1.50

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 25, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 11
PE Sant Jordi vs Penya Independent
0:0
Sep 14, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 11
Penya Independent vs PE Sant Jordi
4:2
Apr 23, 2023 Tercera RFEF - Group 11
PE Sant Jordi vs Penya Independent
1:3
Jan 7, 2023 Tercera RFEF - Group 11
Penya Independent vs PE Sant Jordi
2:2

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

PE Sant Jordi 10 / 100
Penya Independent 95 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
PE Sant Jordi Penya Independent

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick PEN Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

PE Sant Jordi scored in 57% of their last 30 games.

Penya Independent let in goals in 60% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 3.50 goals.

PE Sant Jordi went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.

Penya Independent lost 1 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

PE Sant Jordi VS Penya Independent
0.63 Goals Scored 1.63
1.75 Goals Conceded 1.5
88% Over 1.5 75%
38% Over 2.5 50%
13% Over 3.5 38%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1UD Poblense34226647:1772
2Constancia341813355:3167
3Formentera34199668:3466
4Porreres341711651:3262
5Penya Independent341771059:3458
6Platges de Calvia341412851:3754
7Manacor341312954:3651
8Alcudia341381351:5347
9Binissalem341381335:3447
10Llosetense341281447:4544
11Santanyi3410131140:4543
12Mercadal3410101440:4340
13Felanitx3410101433:5040
14Collerense349121342:4839
15Portmany348131343:5137
16PE Sant Jordi34862030:5230
17Campos34482231:7520
18Migjorn34442622:8216