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PEC Zwolle W vs De Graafschap W - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Netherlands Netherlands

Eredivisie Women Sportpark Ceintuurbaan, Zwolle
Our Tip

Match Events

37' Event
Jansen B.
Assist: op den Kelder G.
46'
Sub
Oteng P. In: Zijp I.
Out: Oteng P.
52'
Sub
Tijink I. In: Tissingh N.
Out: Tijink I.

AI Match Summary

De Graafschap W in this Eredivisie Women matchup, with the score ending 2-3 — backing the pre-match view that favored De Graafschap W.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

46%
PEC Zwolle W
15%
Draws
39%
De Graafschap W
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: PEC Zwolle W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to PEC Zwolle W lately — more wins on the board than De Graafschap W.
  • Win probability leans PEC Zwolle W's way, sitting at 36%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71%
PEC Zwolle W Clean Sheet 12%
De Graafschap W Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric PEC Zwolle W De Graafschap W
Matches Played 30 11
Wins 12 5
Draws 3 1
Losses 15 5
Goals Scored 2.03 1.82
Goals Conceded 1.77 1.55
Expected Goals (xG) 2.38 1.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 20, 2026 Eredivisie Women
PEC Zwolle W vs De Graafschap W
2:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

PEC Zwolle W Compare

Top Goalscorer Zijp I.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Weiman I.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.83
Avg xA / game 1.19

De Graafschap W Compare

Top Goalscorer Jansen B.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Kroese F.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.59
Avg xA / game 0.97

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

PEC Zwolle W 35 / 100
De Graafschap W 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
PEC Zwolle W De Graafschap W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 5.00 goals per match.

PEC Zwolle W scored in 63% of their last 30 games.

De Graafschap W's defensive record shows goals conceded in 64% of 11 matches.

Solid form: PEC Zwolle W remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

PEC Zwolle W VS De Graafschap W
3.5 Goals Scored 1.5
2 Goals Conceded 1.25
88% Over 1.5 63%
63% Over 2.5 63%
63% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

PEC Zwolle W

(Home)
04 Oct
PEC Zwolle W
2 : 2
Heerenveen W
26 Sept
Feyenoord W
2 : 3
PEC Zwolle W
20 Sept
PEC Zwolle W
2 : 3
De Graafschap W
13 Sept
Utrecht W
3 : 4
PEC Zwolle W
06 Sept
PEC Zwolle W
2 : 4
Den Haag W
Page 1 of 6

De Graafschap W

(Away)
04 Oct
De Graafschap W
3 : 0
AZ Alkmaar W
26 Sept
PSV W
4 : 0
De Graafschap W
20 Sept
PEC Zwolle W
2 : 3
De Graafschap W
13 Sept
De Graafschap W
2 : 3
Den Haag W
06 Sept
Ajax W
1 : 0
De Graafschap W
Page 1 of 3

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Twente W 7 7 0 0 29:3 21
2 Ajax W 7 6 0 1 20:6 18
3 PSV W 7 4 1 2 17:8 13
4 AZ Alkmaar W 7 4 0 3 9:16 12
5 De Graafschap W 7 3 0 4 10:12 9
6 Heerenveen W 7 2 2 3 11:13 8
7 PEC Zwolle W 7 2 1 4 13:17 7
8 Den Haag W 7 2 1 4 12:25 7
9 Feyenoord W 7 2 0 5 9:20 6
10 Utrecht W 7 0 1 6 4:14 1
Promotion - UEFA Europa Cup Women 2027/2028 (Qualification)