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Pedras Salgadas vs Cacadores Taipas

Portugal Portugal

Campeonato de Portugal - Group A 2018/2019
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

This Campeonato de Portugal - Group A 2018/2019 encounter between Pedras Salgadas and Cacadores Taipas promises to be a closely contested affair, with win probabilities pointing to an even matchup. Pedras Salgadas averages 1.1 goals scored and 1.1 conceded in recent matches. Cacadores Taipas shows a form average of 0.7 goals scored and 2.0 conceded. Given their contrasting recent form profiles, this matchup is expected to produce a balanced tactical flow. Historical head-to-head records show 1 wins for Pedras Salgadas, 1 wins for Cacadores Taipas, and 0 draws in their recent direct meetings. Their last direct encounter on 17.02.19 ended in a 2:1 scoreline. Our model projects an expected goals (xG) output of 1.17 for Pedras Salgadas and 1.13 for Cacadores Taipas, suggesting the primary value lies in the Pedras Salgadas double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

55%
Pedras Salgadas
25%
Draws
20%
Cacadores Taipas
Draw rate projection: 25% Favored: Pedras Salgadas

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

86% / Very High Confidence
  • Pedras Salgadas picked up more points recently compared to Cacadores Taipas.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.17 vs 1.13 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 70%
Over 2.5 Goals 45%
Over 3.5 Goals 27%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 49%
Pedras Salgadas Clean Sheet 21%
Cacadores Taipas Clean Sheet 12%
First Half Goal 63%
Second Half Goal 67%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Pedras Salgadas Cacadores Taipas
Matches Played 35 30
Wins 13 3
Draws 9 7
Losses 13 20
Goals Scored 1.14 0.67
Goals Conceded 1.11 2.03

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

17.02.19 Campeonato de Portugal - Group A
Pedras Salgadas vs Cacadores Taipas
2:1
16.09.18 Campeonato de Portugal - Group A
Cacadores Taipas vs Pedras Salgadas
4:0

Tactical Matchup Profile

Field Positions & Control Styles

Pedras Salgadas

Pressing Intensity Medium Block
Attacking Style Quick counter-attacks
Wing Attack Frequency Play through the middle
Defensive Alignment Push high up (Offside trap)
Detailed strengths & weaknesses require tactical scouting logs (Data Unavailable).

Cacadores Taipas

Pressing Intensity Medium Block
Attacking Style Quick counter-attacks
Wing Attack Frequency Play through the middle
Defensive Alignment Push high up (Offside trap)
Detailed strengths & weaknesses require tactical scouting logs (Data Unavailable).

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Pedras Salgadas 54 / 100
Cacadores Taipas 20 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Pedras Salgadas Cacadores Taipas

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Pedras Salgadas Win (1)
Secondary Pick Pedras Salgadas & Under 3.5
First Half Result Home Win (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +17.1%
2.13
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +15.2%
2.56
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Expected Match Flow Timeline

Dominance and pressure projections by 15-minute intervals

0' - 15' Dominance Index

Pedras Salgadas is expected to start with high intensity, putting pressure on the visitors early.

Pedras Salgadas 61%
Cacadores Taipas 16%
15' - 30' Dominance Index

Cacadores Taipas will try to absorb the pressure and slow down the tempo of Pedras Salgadas's attacks.

Pedras Salgadas 52%
Cacadores Taipas 21%
30' - 45' Dominance Index

Expect Pedras Salgadas to create chances through sustained possession before the break.

Pedras Salgadas 55%
Cacadores Taipas 20%
45' - 60' Dominance Index

Tactical adjustments at half-time will see Pedras Salgadas vary their attacking width.

Pedras Salgadas 58%
Cacadores Taipas 19%
60' - 75' Dominance Index

Fatigue may set in for Cacadores Taipas, allowing Pedras Salgadas's midfield to exploit vertical gaps.

Pedras Salgadas 50%
Cacadores Taipas 22%
75' - 90' Dominance Index

Expect a final offensive push from Pedras Salgadas, while Cacadores Taipas takes risks to salvage a result.

Pedras Salgadas 63%
Cacadores Taipas 23%

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Pedras Salgadas attacking → ← attacking Cacadores Taipas

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Pedras Salgadas have found the net in 71% of their last 35 matches.

Cacadores Taipas have conceded at least one goal in 83% of their last 30 fixtures.

Historical meetings between these sides average 3.50 goals per match.

Pedras Salgadas remained undefeated in 2 of their last 5 overall matchups.

Cacadores Taipas suffered defeat in 4 of their last 5 overall games.

Match Risk Analysis

Assessing potential disruptors and external variables affecting prediction reliability

Risk Level: Low
Risk Factor

Fatigue: Match timing requires careful team selection; potential roster adjustments may affect consistency.

Risk Factor

Standard league campaign fixture. Both teams have strong incentives to secure maximum points for table positioning.

Risk Factor

Match Intensity: High stakes fixture where discipline and tactical patience will be crucial factors.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

48 Points in last 5 16
1.13 Goals expected (xG) 0.00
1.25 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 0.00

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Vizela32236373:1375
2AD Fafe32217459:2470
3Sao Martinho32209351:2069
4Trofense32207560:2467
5FC Felgueiras32204855:3364
6SC Mirandela321471149:4149
7Chaves B321381155:4147
8Merelinense3210121038:3842
9CDC Montalegre3210101237:5040
10Pedras Salgadas321161543:5239
11Maria de Fonte329101341:5037
12AD Oliveirense321071540:5537
13AD Limianos321071531:4537
14GD Uniao Torcatense32851929:6029
15Mirandes32562126:5321
16Cacadores Taipas32462227:6418
17Vilaverdense FC32432528:7915
18Gil Vicente00000:00