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Pedras Salgadas vs Maria de Fonte

Portugal Portugal

Campeonato de Portugal - Group A 2022/2023
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Campeonato de Portugal - Group A 2022/2023 game between Pedras Salgadas and Maria de Fonte finished 3-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Pedras Salgadas.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

57%
Pedras Salgadas
15%
Draws
28%
Maria de Fonte
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Pedras Salgadas

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

57% / Medium Confidence
  • Maria de Fonte haven't matched Pedras Salgadas's recent run of results.
  • Model gives Pedras Salgadas a 57% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 61.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32%
Pedras Salgadas Clean Sheet 68%
Maria de Fonte Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Pedras Salgadas Maria de Fonte
Matches Played 33 32
Wins 11 9
Draws 11 4
Losses 11 19
Goals Scored 1.12 1.03
Goals Conceded 1.06 2
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 1.10
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 5, 2023 Campeonato de Portugal - Group A
Pedras Salgadas vs Maria de Fonte
3:1
Oct 23, 2022 Campeonato de Portugal - Group A
Maria de Fonte vs Pedras Salgadas
0:0
May 1, 2022 Campeonato de Portugal - Group A
Maria de Fonte vs Pedras Salgadas
1:3
Apr 3, 2022 Campeonato de Portugal - Group A
Pedras Salgadas vs Maria de Fonte
0:0
Dec 8, 2021 Campeonato de Portugal - Group A
Pedras Salgadas vs Maria de Fonte
2:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Pedras Salgadas 86 / 100
Maria de Fonte 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Pedras Salgadas Maria de Fonte

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Pedras Salgadas Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Maria de Fonte has conceded goals in 81% of their last 32 outings.

Pedras Salgadas's goal record stands at 73% scoring rate across 33 recent games.

H2H data points to 2.00 goals as a typical output.

Maria de Fonte's recent record shows 4 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

Pedras Salgadas VS Maria de Fonte
1 Goals Scored 1
1.2 Goals Conceded 2
60% Over 1.5 63%
40% Over 2.5 63%
20% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Pedras Salgadas

(Home)
08 Sept
Vieira
2 : 0
Pedras Salgadas
16 Apr
Pedras Salgadas
1 : 0
SC Vianense
08 Apr
Tirsense
1 : 0
Pedras Salgadas
02 Apr
Pedras Salgadas
3 : 1
Vilar de Perdizes
19 Mar
Merelinense
2 : 1
Pedras Salgadas
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Maria de Fonte

(Away)
20 Sept
Paredes
5 : 1
Maria de Fonte
13 Sept
Maria de Fonte
0 : 4
Braga B
06 Sept
Brito
2 : 1
Maria de Fonte
30 Aug
Maria de Fonte
1 : 0
Uniao Nogueirense
23 Aug
Maria de Fonte
0 : 1
Celoricense
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 SC Vianense 26 16 5 5 37:19 53
2 Amarante FC 26 14 9 3 43:25 51
3 Tirsense 26 14 2 10 39:25 44
4 Pevidem 26 13 4 9 37:30 43
5 Vila Mea 26 11 6 9 39:30 39
6 Vilar de Perdizes 26 8 12 6 33:32 36
7 Brito 26 9 8 9 21:28 35
8 Dumiense 26 9 7 10 34:35 34
9 Merelinense 26 8 9 9 32:32 33
10 Pedras Salgadas 26 8 8 10 27:28 32
11 Desportivo Moncao 26 7 6 13 34:45 27
12 Maria de Fonte 26 6 7 13 27:45 25
13 Sao Martinho 26 5 9 12 24:34 24
14 GD Braganca 26 5 6 15 20:39 21
Promotion - Campeonato de Portugal - Group A 2022/2023 (Promotion Group)