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Pegasus vs Eastern AA

Hong Kong Hong Kong

Sapling Cup 2019/2020
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Pegasus in this Sapling Cup 2019/2020 tie, finishing 2-1. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

59%
Pegasus
15%
Draws
26%
Eastern AA
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Pegasus

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

59% / Medium Confidence
  • Pegasus haven't matched Eastern AA's recent run of results.
  • 59% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • Eastern AA arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Eastern AA, who have won 1 of the last 5 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.2%
Pegasus Clean Sheet 19%
Eastern AA Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Pegasus Eastern AA
Matches Played 25 36
Wins 13 15
Draws 2 5
Losses 10 16
Goals Scored 1.52 1.75
Goals Conceded 1.84 2.17
Expected Goals (xG) 1.73 1.24
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 15, 2021 Premier League
Eastern AA vs Pegasus
4:0
Apr 24, 2021 Premier League
Pegasus vs Eastern AA
0:1
Mar 15, 2021 Premier League
Eastern AA vs Pegasus
0:0
Apr 18, 2020 Premier League
Eastern AA vs Pegasus
0:0
Mar 21, 2020 FA Cup
Eastern AA vs Pegasus
5:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Pegasus 31 / 100
Eastern AA 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Pegasus Eastern AA

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Pegasus Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Pegasus scored in 72% of their last 25 outings.

Eastern AA let in goals in 67% of their last 36 matches.

Games between these two average 2.00 goals.

Solid form: Pegasus remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

- VS Eastern AA
0 Goals Scored 1.38
0 Goals Conceded 2.25
0% Over 1.5 75%
0% Over 2.5 63%
0% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Pegasus

(Home)
23 May
Pegasus
1 : 5
Lee Man Warriors
19 May
Pegasus
2 : 1
Kitchee
15 May
Eastern AA
4 : 0
Pegasus
11 May
Hong Kong Rangers
0 : 2
Pegasus
06 May
Happy Valley
1 : 3
Pegasus
Page 1 of 5

Eastern AA

(Away)
05 Sept
Eastern AA
4 : 0
Kowloon City
30 Aug
Tai Po
4 : 1
Eastern AA
21 Aug
Eastern AA
1 : 3
Shatin
05 Aug
Ratchaburi
6 : 2
Eastern AA
17 May
Kitchee
4 : 4
Eastern AA
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League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Kitchee 8 6 1 1 20:6 19
2 Eastern AA 8 5 1 2 14:5 16
3 Pegasus 8 4 0 4 19:20 12
4 Lee Man Warriors 8 2 1 5 17:22 7
5 Hong Kong Rangers 8 1 1 6 10:27 4
Promotion - Sapling Cup 2019/2020 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Southern District 8 4 3 1 8:5 15
2 Guangzhou R&F (Hong Kong) 8 4 1 3 18:12 13
3 Yuen Long 8 3 3 2 19:17 12
4 Happy Valley 8 2 2 4 13:17 8
5 Tai Po 8 1 3 4 18:25 6
Promotion - Sapling Cup 2019/2020 (Play Offs)