Sport Picks
AI Match Summary
This match ends 9-3, with Pegasus advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
64%
15%
21%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Pegasus
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
64%
/ High Confidence
- Pegasus carry the better recent record into this one.
- Model gives Pegasus a 64% chance of winning this.
- Pegasus have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
- Historical meetings favor Pegasus, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
- History favors Pegasus here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71%
Pegasus Clean Sheet 19%
Hong Kong Rangers Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Pegasus | Hong Kong Rangers |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 23 | 34 |
| Wins | 11 | 7 |
| Draws | 2 | 3 |
| Losses | 10 | 24 |
| Goals Scored | 1.35 | 1.18 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.78 | 2.32 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.79 | 1.24 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
May 11, 2021 Premier League
Hong Kong Rangers vs Pegasus
0:2
Mar 6, 2021 FA Cup
Hong Kong Rangers vs Pegasus
0:0
Feb 28, 2021 Premier League
Pegasus vs Hong Kong Rangers
2:0
Nov 14, 2020 Sapling Cup
Pegasus vs Hong Kong Rangers
4:2
Oct 31, 2020 Sapling Cup
Hong Kong Rangers vs Pegasus
0:2
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Pegasus 76 / 100
Hong Kong Rangers 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Pegasus Hong Kong Rangers
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Pegasus Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Hong Kong Rangers's defensive record shows goals conceded in 91% of 34 matches.
Pegasus scored in 70% of their last 23 games.
These sides typically produce 2.40 goals when they meet.
Recent resilience: Pegasus stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
- VS Hong Kong Rangers
0 Goals Scored 1.38
0 Goals Conceded 2.38
0% Over 1.5 88%
0% Over 2.5 63%
0% Over 3.5 50%
Recent Form & Match History
Pegasus
(Home) 23 May
Pegasus
1 : 5 Lee Man Warriors
19 May
Pegasus
2 : 1 Kitchee
15 May
Eastern AA
4 : 0 Pegasus
11 May
Hong Kong Rangers
0 : 2 Pegasus
06 May
Happy Valley
1 : 3 Pegasus
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23 May
Pegasus
1 : 5 Lee Man Warriors
19 May
Pegasus
2 : 1 Kitchee
24 Apr
Pegasus
0 : 1 Eastern AA
18 Apr
Pegasus
3 : 2 Resources Capital
28 Mar
Pegasus
1 : 2 Lee Man Warriors
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Hong Kong Rangers
(Away) 20 Sept
Hong Kong Rangers
1 : 0 Eastern AA
13 Sept
North District
5 : 0 Hong Kong Rangers
05 Sept
Tai Po
3 : 2 Hong Kong Rangers
30 Aug
Hong Kong Rangers
1 : 3 Eastern District
22 Aug
Hong Kong Rangers
2 : 3 Kitchee
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13 Sept
North District
5 : 0 Hong Kong Rangers
05 Sept
Tai Po
3 : 2 Hong Kong Rangers
23 May
Tai Po
2 : 0 Hong Kong Rangers
16 May
Eastern District
1 : 1 Hong Kong Rangers
10 May
Hong Kong FC
2 : 1 Hong Kong Rangers
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League Standings (Group 1)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Kitchee | 8 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 20:6 | 19 |
| 2 | Eastern AA | 8 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 14:5 | 16 |
| 3 | Pegasus | 8 | 4 | 0 | 4 | 19:20 | 12 |
| 4 | Lee Man Warriors | 8 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 17:22 | 7 |
| 5 | Hong Kong Rangers | 8 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 10:27 | 4 |
Promotion - Sapling Cup 2019/2020 (Play Offs)
League Standings (Group 2)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Southern District | 8 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 8:5 | 15 |
| 2 | Guangzhou R&F (Hong Kong) | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 18:12 | 13 |
| 3 | Yuen Long | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 19:17 | 12 |
| 4 | Happy Valley | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 13:17 | 8 |
| 5 | Tai Po | 8 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 18:25 | 6 |
Promotion - Sapling Cup 2019/2020 (Play Offs)
