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Pegasus vs Kitchee

Hong Kong Hong Kong

Sapling Cup 2020/2021
Pegasus Logo

Pegasus

0 - 0
FT
Kitchee Logo

Kitchee

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Sapling Cup 2020/2021 tie, finishing 0-0. Extra time or penalties follow.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
Pegasus
20%
Draws
44%
Kitchee
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Kitchee

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

44% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Kitchee lately — more wins on the board than Pegasus.
  • Kitchee are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Kitchee arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Kitchee, who have won 1 of the last 5 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.2%
Pegasus Clean Sheet 13%
Kitchee Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Pegasus Kitchee
Matches Played 23 34
Wins 11 22
Draws 2 7
Losses 10 5
Goals Scored 1.35 2.26
Goals Conceded 1.78 1.12
Expected Goals (xG) 1.04 1.68
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 19, 2021 Premier League
Pegasus vs Kitchee
2:1
Mar 24, 2021 Premier League
Pegasus vs Kitchee
1:2
Mar 4, 2021 Premier League
Kitchee vs Pegasus
2:0
Feb 20, 2021 Sapling Cup
Kitchee vs Pegasus
3:1
Nov 4, 2020 Sapling Cup
Pegasus vs Kitchee
0:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Pegasus 10 / 100
Kitchee 84 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Pegasus Kitchee

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Kitchee Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Pegasus scored in 70% of their last 23 games.

Games between these two average 2.40 goals.

Pegasus went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Defensive concern: Kitchee conceded in 59% of 34 recent games.

Scoring Trends

- VS Kitchee
0 Goals Scored 2.25
0 Goals Conceded 0.88
0% Over 1.5 75%
0% Over 2.5 75%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Pegasus

(Home)
23 May
Pegasus
1 : 5
Lee Man Warriors
19 May
Pegasus
2 : 1
Kitchee
15 May
Eastern AA
4 : 0
Pegasus
11 May
Hong Kong Rangers
0 : 2
Pegasus
06 May
Happy Valley
1 : 3
Pegasus
Page 1 of 5

Kitchee

(Away)
17 Sept
Kitchee
0 : 0
Gangwon
12 Sept
Southern District
1 : 3
Kitchee
06 Sept
Kitchee
4 : 1
Eastern District
29 Aug
North District
0 : 0
Kitchee
22 Aug
Hong Kong Rangers
2 : 3
Kitchee
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League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Lee Man Warriors 6 3 3 0 11:2 12
2 Kitchee 6 3 3 0 11:4 12
3 Pegasus 6 2 1 3 8:14 7
4 Hong Kong Rangers 6 0 1 5 6:16 1
Promotion - Sapling Cup 2020/2021 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Eastern AA 6 4 1 1 17:7 13
2 Happy Valley 6 4 1 1 12:4 13
3 Southern District 6 1 3 2 8:12 6
4 Resources Capital 6 0 1 5 5:19 1
Promotion - Sapling Cup 2020/2021 (Play Offs)