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Pelhrimov vs Sparta Brno

Czech Republic Czech Republic

4. liga - Group D 2025/2026
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The 4. liga - Group D 2025/2026 game between Pelhrimov and Sparta Brno finished 3-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Pelhrimov.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Pelhrimov
33%
Draws
27%
Sparta Brno
Draw rate projection: 33% Favored: Pelhrimov

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / Medium Confidence
  • Pelhrimov have managed 1.5 goals a game lately — Sparta Brno are scoring more at 2.88.
  • Model gives Pelhrimov a 40% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 80%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 80%
Over 3.5 Goals 69%
Over 4.5 Goals 31%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 76.2%
Pelhrimov Clean Sheet 10%
Sparta Brno Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Pelhrimov Sparta Brno
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 11 11
Draws 7 4
Losses 12 15
Goals Scored 1.5 2.88
Goals Conceded 2.88 2.75
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 2.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.88 2.75

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 8, 2026 4. liga - Group D
Pelhrimov vs Sparta Brno
3:1
Aug 1, 2025 4. liga - Group D
Sparta Brno vs Pelhrimov
3:4
Apr 22, 2012 4. liga - Group D
Pelhrimov vs Sparta Brno
1:0
Sep 10, 2011 4. liga - Group D
Sparta Brno vs Pelhrimov
1:0
Apr 3, 2011 4. liga - Group D
Pelhrimov vs Sparta Brno
0:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Pelhrimov 38 / 100
Sparta Brno 26 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Pelhrimov Sparta Brno

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick PEL Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Sparta Brno conceded in 80% of 30 recent games.

Attacking prowess: Pelhrimov scored in 77% of their last 30 outings.

Games between these two average 2.80 goals.

Pelhrimov went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Pelhrimov VS Sparta Brno
1.5 Goals Scored 2.88
2.88 Goals Conceded 2.75
88% Over 1.5 100%
75% Over 2.5 100%
63% Over 3.5 75%

Recent Form & Match History

Pelhrimov

(Home)
12 Jun
Pelhrimov
1 : 2
Tasovice
06 Jun
Chotebor
1 : 2
Pelhrimov
31 May
Pelhrimov
3 : 0
Sperice
23 May
FC Kurim
8 : 1
Pelhrimov
17 May
Pelhrimov
5 : 2
FS Trebic
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Sparta Brno

(Away)
25 Jul
Sparta Brno
1 : 0
Nove Mesto na Morave
13 Jun
Sparta Brno
2 : 1
Chotebor
06 Jun
FC Kurim
3 : 1
Sparta Brno
31 May
Znojmo
5 : 1
Sparta Brno
23 May
Velka Bites
2 : 1
Sparta Brno
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