Sport Picks

Gabon

Championnat D1

Ogooue

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Heatmaps Risks Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Pelican Lambarene play Ogooue in the Championnat D1. It looks like a close match. Recently, Pelican Lambarene averaged 1.52 goals scored and 1.23 conceded. Ogooue averaged 1.38 goals scored and 1.15 conceded. In past meetings, Pelican Lambarene won 2, Ogooue won 0, and they drew 0. Their last match on May 16, 2026 ended 2:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.25 for Pelican Lambarene and 1.44 for Ogooue. This points to a Pelican Lambarene double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

42%

Pelican Lambarene

21%

Draws

37%

Ogooue

Draw rate projection: 21% Favored: Pelican Lambarene

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

71% / Medium Confidence

Pelican Lambarene picked up more points recently compared to Ogooue.
Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.25 vs 1.44 xG).
Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%

Over 1.5 Goals 75%

Over 2.5 Goals 51%

Over 3.5 Goals 31%

Over 4.5 Goals 15%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 44%

Pelican Lambarene Clean Sheet 16%

Ogooue Clean Sheet 11%

First Half Goal 68%

Second Half Goal 71%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Pelican Lambarene	Ogooue
Matches Played	31	26
Wins	12	12
Draws	7	5
Losses	12	9
Goals Scored	1.52	1.38
Goals Conceded	1.23	1.15
Expected Goals (xG)	1.38	1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.50	1.13

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 16, 2026 Championnat D1

Pelican Lambarene vs Ogooue

Possession: 54% - 43% Cards: 0 - 3

2:0

Mar 14, 2026 Championnat D1

Ogooue vs Pelican Lambarene

Possession: 41% - 57% Cards: 3 - 1

0:3

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Pelican Lambarene 41 / 100

Ogooue 36 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Pelican Lambarene Ogooue

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Pelican Lambarene or Draw (1X)

Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals

First Half Result Home Win (HT)

BTTS Outcome No (NG)

Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win

Value Edge +23.5%

2.94

Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals

Value Edge +13.2%

2.22

*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Pelican Lambarene attacking → ← attacking Ogooue

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Pelican Lambarene scored in 71% of their last 31 games.

Ogooue let in goals in 69% of their last 26 matches.

Games between these two average 2.50 goals.

Pelican Lambarene went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Ogooue lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Match Risk Analysis

Assessing potential disruptors and external variables affecting prediction reliability

Risk Level: Moderate

Risk Factor

Busy schedule: Managers might rest key players, which can affect team cohesion.

Risk Factor

Regular league game. Both sides need the points to climb the table.

Risk Factor

Pressure: A tense match where mistakes or cards can change things quickly.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

43 Points in last 5 41

1.38 Goals expected (xG) 1.38

1.50 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.13

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Mangasport	26	19	1	6	51:21	58
2	Stade Mandji	26	17	4	5	41:16	55
3	Oyem AC	26	13	4	9	38:25	43
4	Vautour	26	12	7	7	31:22	43
5	Cercle Mberi Sportif	26	11	9	6	30:20	42
6	Ogooue	26	12	5	9	36:30	41
7	US Oyem	26	11	6	9	32:27	39
8	FC Libreville	26	12	3	11	35:33	39
9	Stade Migoveen	26	10	7	9	27:26	37
10	Pelican Lambarene	26	10	5	11	37:30	35
11	Lozo Sport	26	7	7	12	22:27	28
12	Bitam	26	7	4	15	23:54	25
13	Bouenguidi	26	3	10	13	21:34	19
14	Dikaki	26	1	2	23	15:74	5