Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Pelikan vs Jagiellonia II

Poland Poland

III Liga - Group I 2024/2025
Our Tip

Match Events

2' Event
Drygiel P.
33' Event
Jakimiuk J.
37' Event
Czarnowski P.

AI Match Summary

Pelikan host Jagiellonia II in the III Liga - Group I 2024/2025. Recent form is the clearest guide to this one. Jagiellonia II have shipped 0.88 goals a game lately, while Pelikan have conceded 0 and scored 0. Head-to-head, Pelikan have won 1 to Jagiellonia II's 3, with 1 draws. They last met on Jun 7, 2025, ending 1:4. Model xG sits at 1.04 vs 1.61, favoring Jagiellonia II. Jagiellonia II in a double chance market carries the safer edge.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
Pelikan
44%
Draws
20%
Jagiellonia II
Draw rate projection: 44% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

71% / Medium Confidence
  • Jagiellonia II has accumulated more wins in recent fixtures compared to Pelikan.
  • Model projects a tightly contested fixture with a 44% draw probability.
  • League standings and seasonal metrics in III Liga - Group I 2024/2025 provide steady trend data.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78%
Pelikan Clean Sheet 14%
Jagiellonia II Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Pelikan Jagiellonia II
Matches Played 27 34
Wins 4 17
Draws 7 6
Losses 16 11
Goals Scored 0 2.13
Goals Conceded 0 0.88

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 7, 2025 III Liga - Group I
Pelikan vs Jagiellonia II
1:4
Nov 16, 2024 III Liga - Group I
Jagiellonia II vs Pelikan
4:0
Jun 8, 2024 III Liga - Group I
Jagiellonia II vs Pelikan
2:1
Nov 19, 2023 III Liga - Group I
Pelikan vs Jagiellonia II
1:0
May 6, 2023 III Liga - Group I
Jagiellonia II vs Pelikan
2:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Pelikan Compare

Top Goalscorer Czarnowski P.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0
Avg xA / game 0

Jagiellonia II Compare

Top Goalscorer Drygiel P.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Jakimiuk J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.94
Avg xA / game 1.18

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Pelikan 35 / 100
Jagiellonia II 21 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Pelikan Jagiellonia II

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick JAG Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Pelikan scored in 56% of their last 27 games.

Jagiellonia II let in goals in 68% of their last 34 matches.

Games between these two average 3.40 goals.

Pelikan went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Jagiellonia II lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Pelikan VS Jagiellonia II
0 Goals Scored 2.13
0 Goals Conceded 0.88
0% Over 1.5 63%
0% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 50%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Unia Skierniewice34235681:3074
2Legia II34217675:3970
3LKS Lomza341810668:3864
4Warta Sieradz341671146:4255
5Suwalki341391246:3848
6Jagiellonia II341381354:4947
7Swit Mazowiecki341381347:5847
8GKS Belchatow3412101252:5246
9Bron Radom3412101240:4846
10Tomaszow Mazowiecki341371457:6446
11MKS Mlawa341281467:6244
12Plock II3411101354:5843
13GKS Wikielec3410121239:4542
14Stomil Olsztyn341191444:5642
15Victoria Sulejowek341181552:5941
16Lidzbark Warmimski349141146:6041
17Pelikan34961934:5833
18Sokol Aleksandrow Lodz34262626:7212