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Pelikan vs Legionowo Prediction & H2H Stats

Poland Poland

III Liga - Group I 2023/2024
Our Tip

Match Events

18' Event
Bieganski A.
31' Event
Pawlicki J.
73' Event
Lojszczyk K.

AI Match Summary

The III Liga - Group I 2023/2024 game between Pelikan and Legionowo finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Pelikan.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

51%
Pelikan
20%
Draws
29%
Legionowo
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Pelikan

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Legionowo haven't matched Pelikan's recent run of results.
  • Win probability leans Pelikan's way, sitting at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.6%
Pelikan Clean Sheet 19%
Legionowo Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Pelikan Legionowo
Matches Played 32 31
Wins 15 6
Draws 6 9
Losses 11 16
Goals Scored 1.31 1.32
Goals Conceded 1.25 1.9
Expected Goals (xG) 1.10 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 22, 2025 Club Friendly
Pelikan vs Legionowo
3:1
Jun 2, 2024 III Liga - Group I
Pelikan vs Legionowo
2:1
Nov 11, 2023 III Liga - Group I
Legionowo vs Pelikan
0:3
Apr 30, 2023 III Liga - Group I
Pelikan vs Legionowo
1:1
Sep 24, 2022 III Liga - Group I
Legionowo vs Pelikan
4:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Pelikan Compare

Top Goalscorer Pawlicki J.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Lojszczyk K.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.85
Avg xA / game 0.55

Legionowo Compare

Top Goalscorer Bieganski A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Pelikan 85 / 100
Legionowo 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Pelikan Legionowo

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Pelikan Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Legionowo has conceded goals in 81% of their last 31 outings.

These sides typically produce 3.40 goals when they meet.

Pelikan's goal record stands at 75% scoring rate across 32 recent games.

Pelikan went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Pelikan VS -
1 Goals Scored 0
1.5 Goals Conceded 0
50% Over 1.5 0%
50% Over 2.5 0%
38% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Pelikan

(Home)
26 Sept
Olimpia Zambrow
1 : 3
Pelikan
19 Sept
Pelikan
1 : 0
Lidzbark Warmimski
12 Sept
Olimpia Elblag
1 : 0
Pelikan
04 Sept
Pelikan
4 : 1
Swit Mazowiecki
29 Aug
Zabkovia Zabki
2 : 1
Pelikan
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Legionowo

(Away)
22 Feb
Pelikan
3 : 1
Legionowo
08 Feb
Legionowo
3 : 2
Wilga Garwolin
05 Jun
Legionowo
2 : 2
Bron Radom
02 Jun
Pelikan
2 : 1
Legionowo
25 May
Legionowo
0 : 0
Legia II
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki 34 23 7 4 106:32 76
2 Unia Skierniewice 34 19 8 7 78:46 65
3 Legia II 34 19 8 7 70:40 65
4 Swit Mazowiecki 34 15 11 8 70:52 56
5 GKS Belchatow 34 16 8 10 58:49 56
6 Tomaszow Mazowiecki 34 15 8 11 66:54 53
7 Pelikan 34 15 7 12 52:40 52
8 LKS Lomza 34 14 6 14 52:51 48
9 Bron Radom 34 12 12 10 39:43 48
10 Warta Sieradz 34 13 5 16 43:48 44
11 GKS Wikielec 34 11 10 13 37:46 43
12 MKS Mlawa 34 11 9 14 43:50 42
13 Jagiellonia II 34 12 6 16 48:58 42
14 Victoria Sulejowek 34 11 8 15 41:48 41
15 Olimpia Zambrow 34 10 10 14 52:48 40
16 Concordia Elblag 34 8 6 20 37:98 30
17 Legionowo 34 7 6 21 41:71 27
18 Pilica Bialobrzegi 34 4 7 23 30:89 19
Promotion - Division 2 2024/2025 (Main)