Sport Picks
Pelikan vs Lidzbark Warmimski Prediction & H2H Stats
Poland
III Liga - Group I 
Match Events
2'
2'
Czeczko M.
AI Match Summary
The III Liga - Group I game between Pelikan and Lidzbark Warmimski finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Pelikan.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
47%
20%
33%
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Pelikan
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
47%
/ Medium Confidence
- Look at the last few games and Pelikan come out ahead of Lidzbark Warmimski on wins alone.
- Pelikan are the model's pick here, at 70%.
- Regular III Liga - Group I form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
- History favors Pelikan here — 2 wins from the last 3 head-to-heads.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.2%
Pelikan Clean Sheet 19%
Lidzbark Warmimski Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Pelikan | Lidzbark Warmimski |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 28 | 29 |
| Wins | 10 | 8 |
| Draws | 7 | 11 |
| Losses | 11 | 10 |
| Goals Scored | 1.14 | 1.21 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.39 | 1.52 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.56 | 1.25 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Sep 19, 2026 III Liga - Group I
Pelikan vs Lidzbark Warmimski
1:0
May 4, 2025 III Liga - Group I
Lidzbark Warmimski vs Pelikan
0:0
Oct 6, 2024 III Liga - Group I
Pelikan vs Lidzbark Warmimski
1:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Pelikan Compare
Top Goalscorer Czeczko M.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.2
Avg xA / game 0.78
Lidzbark Warmimski Compare
Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Pelikan 67 / 100
Lidzbark Warmimski 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Pelikan Lidzbark Warmimski
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Pelikan Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Lidzbark Warmimski's defensive record shows goals conceded in 83% of 29 matches.
Pelikan scored in 71% of their last 28 games.
Recent resilience: Pelikan stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.
Games between these two average 0.67 goals.
Scoring Trends
Pelikan VS Lidzbark Warmimski
1.25 Goals Scored 1.38
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.88
63% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 63%
13% Over 3.5 50%
Recent Form & Match History
Pelikan
(Home) 03 Oct
Pelikan
1 : 1 Widzew Lodz II
26 Sept
Olimpia Zambrow
1 : 3 Pelikan
19 Sept
Pelikan
1 : 0 Lidzbark Warmimski
12 Sept
Olimpia Elblag
1 : 0 Pelikan
04 Sept
Pelikan
4 : 1 Swit Mazowiecki
Page 1 of 6
03 Oct
Pelikan
1 : 1 Widzew Lodz II
19 Sept
Pelikan
1 : 0 Lidzbark Warmimski
04 Sept
Pelikan
4 : 1 Swit Mazowiecki
23 Aug
Pelikan
1 : 1 Troszyn
15 Aug
Pelikan
2 : 1 LKS Lodz II
Page 1 of 4
Lidzbark Warmimski
(Away) 03 Oct
Tomaszow Mazowiecki
1 : 2 Lidzbark Warmimski
26 Sept
Lidzbark Warmimski
1 : 1 KTS Weszlo
19 Sept
Pelikan
1 : 0 Lidzbark Warmimski
12 Sept
Lidzbark Warmimski
1 : 2 Warta Sieradz
06 Sept
Suwalki
1 : 3 Lidzbark Warmimski
Page 1 of 6
03 Oct
Tomaszow Mazowiecki
1 : 2 Lidzbark Warmimski
19 Sept
Pelikan
1 : 0 Lidzbark Warmimski
06 Sept
Suwalki
1 : 3 Lidzbark Warmimski
23 Aug
Widzew Lodz II
4 : 1 Lidzbark Warmimski
07 Aug
Olimpia Elblag
4 : 2 Lidzbark Warmimski
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | KTS Weszlo | 11 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 24:10 | 26 |
| 2 | Suwalki | 11 | 6 | 4 | 1 | 19:10 | 22 |
| 3 | Mazovia Minsk Mazowiecki | 11 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 27:18 | 21 |
| 4 | Pelikan | 11 | 6 | 2 | 3 | 17:13 | 20 |
| 5 | Swit Mazowiecki | 11 | 6 | 2 | 3 | 20:12 | 20 |
| 6 | Plock II | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 22:18 | 18 |
| 7 | Zabkovia Zabki | 10 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 19:18 | 16 |
| 8 | Jagiellonia II | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 22:20 | 15 |
| 9 | Warta Sieradz | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 18:16 | 15 |
| 10 | Widzew Lodz II | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 21:18 | 14 |
| 11 | Olimpia Zambrow | 11 | 4 | 2 | 5 | 23:27 | 14 |
| 12 | Tomaszow Mazowiecki | 11 | 4 | 1 | 6 | 21:23 | 13 |
| 13 | Olimpia Elblag | 11 | 4 | 1 | 6 | 16:20 | 13 |
| 14 | LKS Lodz II | 10 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 16:19 | 11 |
| 15 | MKS Mlawa | 11 | 3 | 1 | 7 | 22:32 | 10 |
| 16 | Lidzbark Warmimski | 11 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 16:22 | 9 |
| 17 | Troszyn | 10 | 1 | 4 | 5 | 12:24 | 7 |
| 18 | LKS Lomza | 11 | 0 | 3 | 8 | 10:25 | 3 |
Promotion - Division 2 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Division 2 (Relegation - Play Offs)
