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Pelikan vs Suwalki - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Poland Poland

III Liga - Group I
Sat, Oct 17, 2026
VS
01:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Pelikan host Suwalki in the III Liga - Group I. Recent form is the clearest guide to this one. Suwalki have shipped 1.16 goals a game lately, while Pelikan have conceded 1.33 and scored 1.19. Head-to-head, Pelikan have won 2 to Suwalki's 3, with 0 draws. They last met on Apr 12, 2025, ending 1:0. xG projections (1.56 - 1.56) back Suwalki to edge this. Away (2) are the model's selection here, or BTTS: GG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

35%
Pelikan
20%
Draws
45%
Suwalki
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Suwalki

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

45% / Medium Confidence
  • Suwalki have won more games recently than Pelikan.
  • Win probability leans Suwalki's way, sitting at 50%.
  • Regular III Liga - Group I form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.6%
Pelikan Clean Sheet 15%
Suwalki Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Pelikan Suwalki
Matches Played 27 31
Wins 10 17
Draws 7 7
Losses 10 7
Goals Scored 1.19 1.77
Goals Conceded 1.33 1.16
Expected Goals (xG) 1.56 1.56
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 12, 2025 III Liga - Group I
Pelikan vs Suwalki
1:0
Sep 14, 2024 III Liga - Group I
Suwalki vs Pelikan
2:1
May 18, 2014 Division 2 - East
Pelikan vs Suwalki
0:1
Oct 18, 2013 Division 2 - East
Suwalki vs Pelikan
1:0
Jun 1, 2013 Division 2 - East
Suwalki vs Pelikan
1:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Pelikan 23 / 100
Suwalki 47 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Pelikan Suwalki

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Suwalki Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Pelikan scored in 74% of their last 27 outings.

Suwalki's defensive record shows goals conceded in 65% of 31 matches.

Games between these two average 1.80 goals.

Pelikan has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Pelikan VS Suwalki
1.38 Goals Scored 1.88
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.75
75% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Pelikan

(Home)
03 Oct
Pelikan
1 : 1
Widzew Lodz II
26 Sept
Olimpia Zambrow
1 : 3
Pelikan
19 Sept
Pelikan
1 : 0
Lidzbark Warmimski
12 Sept
Olimpia Elblag
1 : 0
Pelikan
04 Sept
Pelikan
4 : 1
Swit Mazowiecki
Page 1 of 6

Suwalki

(Away)
09 Oct
Warta Sieradz
1 : 3
Suwalki
03 Oct
Suwalki
1 : 0
Plock II
26 Sept
Mazovia Minsk Mazowiecki
0 : 2
Suwalki
20 Sept
Suwalki
6 : 3
Widzew Lodz II
12 Sept
Olimpia Zambrow
1 : 1
Suwalki
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 KTS Weszlo 11 8 2 1 24:10 26
2 Suwalki 11 6 4 1 19:10 22
3 Mazovia Minsk Mazowiecki 11 6 3 2 27:18 21
4 Pelikan 11 6 2 3 17:13 20
5 Swit Mazowiecki 11 6 2 3 20:12 20
6 Plock II 11 5 3 3 22:18 18
7 Zabkovia Zabki 10 5 1 4 19:18 16
8 Jagiellonia II 10 4 3 3 22:20 15
9 Warta Sieradz 10 4 3 3 18:16 15
10 Widzew Lodz II 10 4 2 4 21:18 14
11 Olimpia Zambrow 11 4 2 5 23:27 14
12 Tomaszow Mazowiecki 11 4 1 6 21:23 13
13 Olimpia Elblag 11 4 1 6 16:20 13
14 LKS Lodz II 10 3 2 5 16:19 11
15 MKS Mlawa 11 3 1 7 22:32 10
16 Lidzbark Warmimski 11 2 3 6 16:22 9
17 Troszyn 10 1 4 5 12:24 7
18 LKS Lomza 11 0 3 8 10:25 3
Promotion - Division 2 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Division 2 (Relegation - Play Offs)