Sport Picks

Poland

III Liga - Group VI

Warta Dzialoszyn

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Heatmaps Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Pelikan play Warta Dzialoszyn in the III Liga - Group VI. It looks like a close match. Recently, Pelikan averaged 0.83 goals scored and 1.86 conceded. Warta Dzialoszyn averaged 1.03 goals scored and 2.57 conceded. In past meetings, Pelikan won 1, Warta Dzialoszyn won 0, and they drew 1. Their last match on Jun 1, 2016 ended 2:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.10 for Pelikan and 1.56 for Warta Dzialoszyn. This points to a Warta Dzialoszyn double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

37%

Pelikan

22%

Draws

41%

Warta Dzialoszyn

Draw rate projection: 22% Favored: Warta Dzialoszyn

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / Medium Confidence

Pelikan picked up more points recently compared to Warta Dzialoszyn.
Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.10 vs 1.56 xG).
Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 57%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%

Over 1.5 Goals 80%

Over 2.5 Goals 57%

Over 3.5 Goals 34%

Over 4.5 Goals 17%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 51%

Pelikan Clean Sheet 15%

Warta Dzialoszyn Clean Sheet 14%

First Half Goal 72%

Second Half Goal 76%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Pelikan	Warta Dzialoszyn
Matches Played	29	30
Wins	5	9
Draws	8	5
Losses	16	16
Goals Scored	0.83	1.03
Goals Conceded	1.86	2.57

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 1, 2016 III Liga - Group VI

Pelikan vs Warta Dzialoszyn

Possession: 43% - 55% Cards: 1 - 1

2:0

Nov 11, 2015 III Liga - Group VI

Warta Dzialoszyn vs Pelikan

Possession: 51% - 41% Cards: 4 - 0

1:1

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Pelikan 36 / 100

Warta Dzialoszyn 40 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Pelikan Warta Dzialoszyn

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Warta Dzialoszyn or Draw (X2)

Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals

First Half Result Draw (HT)

BTTS Outcome No (NG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win

Value Edge +27.6%

3.45

Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals

Value Edge +11.7%

1.96

*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Pelikan attacking → ← attacking Warta Dzialoszyn

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Pelikan scored in 59% of their last 29 games.

Warta Dzialoszyn let in goals in 80% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 2.00 goals.

Pelikan went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Warta Dzialoszyn lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

23 Points in last 5 32

1.00 Goals expected (xG) 0.00

2.13 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 0.00

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Polonia Warszawa	34	21	5	8	62:25	68
2	Ursus Warszawa	34	19	8	7	56:26	65
3	Sokol Aleksandrow Lodz	34	18	11	5	53:24	65
4	Tomaszow Mazowiecki	34	19	8	7	79:37	65
5	Legia II	34	19	8	7	66:38	65
6	LKS Lodz	34	19	7	8	71:37	64
7	Pelikan	34	18	10	6	58:29	64
8	Swit Mazowiecki	34	17	12	5	61:27	63
9	Blekitni Raciaz	34	15	8	11	56:52	53
10	Warta Sieradz	34	12	7	15	43:46	43
11	Bron Radom	34	9	10	15	51:70	37
12	Warta Dzialoszyn	34	10	5	19	33:82	35
13	Pilica Bialobrzegi	34	10	4	20	48:60	34
14	Oskar Przysucha	34	7	8	19	42:78	29
15	Energia Kozienice	34	6	9	19	41:64	27
16	Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki	34	6	9	19	36:60	27
17	Otwock	34	6	4	24	24:86	22
18	Ner Poddebice	34	4	9	21	31:70	21