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Pelister vs Lok. Skopje Prediction & H2H Stats

North Macedonia North Macedonia

2. MFL 2022/2023
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The 2. MFL 2022/2023 game between Pelister and Lok. Skopje finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Pelister.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

53%
Pelister
15%
Draws
32%
Lok. Skopje
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Pelister

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

53% / Medium Confidence
  • Lok. Skopje haven't matched Pelister's recent run of results.
  • 53% — that's where the model lands on Pelister taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Pelister here — 3 wins from the last 4 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.4%
Pelister Clean Sheet 20%
Lok. Skopje Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Pelister Lok. Skopje
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 14 8
Draws 8 7
Losses 9 15
Goals Scored 1.55 1.27
Goals Conceded 1.13 1.37
Expected Goals (xG) 1.60 0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 6, 2023 2. MFL
Pelister vs Lok. Skopje
2:1
Nov 26, 2022 2. MFL
Lok. Skopje vs Pelister
2:3
Apr 21, 2012 2. MFL
Pelister vs Lok. Skopje
2:0
Oct 16, 2011 2. MFL
Lok. Skopje vs Pelister
2:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Pelister 85 / 100
Lok. Skopje 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Pelister Lok. Skopje

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Pelister Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Solid form: Pelister remains unbeaten in 5 of 5 recent matches.

Attacking prowess: Pelister scored in 68% of their last 31 outings.

Defensive concern: Lok. Skopje conceded in 73% of 30 recent games.

H2H data points to 3.00 goals as a typical output.

Scoring Trends

Pelister VS -
2 Goals Scored 0
0.75 Goals Conceded 0
50% Over 1.5 0%
38% Over 2.5 0%
38% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Pelister

(Home)
19 Sept
Pelister
1 : 0
Ohrid
13 Sept
Shkupi
0 : 4
Pelister
06 Sept
Pelister
2 : 0
Rabotnicki
02 Sept
Studenicani
1 : 6
Pelister
29 Aug
Makedonija GP
0 : 1
Pelister
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Lok. Skopje

(Away)
13 May
Lok. Skopje
2 : 0
Besa 1976
09 May
Kamenica Sasa
2 : 1
Lok. Skopje
06 May
Pelister
2 : 1
Lok. Skopje
29 Apr
Lok. Skopje
3 : 0
Karaorman Struga
26 Apr
Borec
0 : 3
Lok. Skopje
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Voska Sport 30 23 6 1 84:25 75
2 KF Gostivar 30 23 7 0 71:11 73
3 Vardar 30 19 6 5 55:20 63
4 Pelister 30 17 7 6 64:26 58
5 Detonit Plackovica 30 14 8 8 43:35 50
6 Besa 1976 30 15 3 12 43:29 48
7 Ohrid 30 12 5 13 31:35 41
8 Arsimi 30 12 4 14 41:35 40
9 Kozuf Gevgelija 30 10 6 14 40:54 36
10 Belasica Strumica 30 10 5 15 36:47 35
11 Karaorman Struga 30 9 7 14 30:40 34
12 Kamenica Sasa 30 8 7 15 31:49 31
13 Teteks 30 9 4 17 31:78 31
14 Lok. Skopje 30 8 6 16 35:41 30
15 Sloga Vinica 30 6 7 17 26:47 25
16 Borec 30 0 2 28 13:102 2
Promotion - 1. MFL 2023/2024 (Main)
Promotion - 1. MFL 2022/2023 (Relegation)
Relegation - 2. MFL 2022/2023 (Relegation)