Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Pelister vs Ohrid

North Macedonia North Macedonia

2. MFL
Sat, Sep 19, 2026
VS
03:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Pelister host Ohrid in the 2. MFL. History leans heavily one way in this fixture. Ohrid have shipped 0.78 goals a game lately, while Pelister have conceded 1.21 and scored 1.41. Head-to-head, Pelister have won 4 to Ohrid's 1, with 0 draws. They last met on Jul 26, 2025, ending 2:0. Model xG sits at 0.56 vs 2.19, favoring Ohrid. AI prediction: Away (2) Win — correct score tipped at 1-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

28%
Pelister
20%
Draws
52%
Ohrid
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Ohrid

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

52% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Ohrid lately — more wins on the board than Pelister.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 44%.
  • Regular 2. MFL form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Pelister have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 66.2%
Pelister Clean Sheet 10%
Ohrid Clean Sheet 20%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Pelister Ohrid
Matches Played 29 27
Wins 10 18
Draws 9 4
Losses 10 5
Goals Scored 1.41 2.56
Goals Conceded 1.21 0.78
Expected Goals (xG) 0.56 2.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 26, 2025 Club Friendly
Pelister vs Ohrid
2:0
Jan 31, 2025 Club Friendly
Ohrid vs Pelister
0:5
Apr 20, 2024 2. MFL
Pelister vs Ohrid
1:0
Feb 3, 2024 Club Friendly
Pelister vs Ohrid
0:1
Oct 28, 2023 2. MFL
Ohrid vs Pelister
1:3

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Pelister 34 / 100
Ohrid 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Pelister Ohrid

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Ohrid Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Pelister scored in 66% of their last 29 outings.

These sides typically produce 2.60 goals when they meet.

Pelister has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Defensive concern: Ohrid conceded in 52% of 27 recent games.

Scoring Trends

Pelister VS Ohrid
0.75 Goals Scored 2.5
1.88 Goals Conceded 0.38
50% Over 1.5 63%
38% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Pelister

(Home)
02 Sept
Studenicani
1 : 6
Pelister
29 Aug
Makedonija GP
0 : 1
Pelister
22 Aug
Pelister
0 : 0
Brera Strumica
16 Aug
Pelister
1 : 1
Kamjani
08 Aug
Pogradeci
4 : 2
Pelister
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Ohrid

(Away)
05 Sept
Teteks
0 : 3
Ohrid
30 Aug
Ohrid
5 : 1
Kozuf Gevgelija
15 Aug
Ohrid
2 : 1
Novaci
18 Jul
Ohrid
1 : 0
Novaci
23 May
Ohrid
7 : 1
Sloga Vinica
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Ohrid 3 3 0 0 10:2 9
2 Belasica Strumica 4 2 2 0 5:3 8
3 Brera Strumica 3 2 1 0 4:1 7
4 Detonit Plackovica 3 2 1 0 5:2 7
5 Kamjani 4 2 1 1 5:4 7
6 Rabotnicki 2 2 0 0 4:0 6
7 Pelister 3 1 2 0 2:1 5
8 Makedonija GP 3 1 1 1 2:2 4
9 Teteks 3 1 1 1 4:5 4
10 Kozuf Gevgelija 4 1 1 2 5:10 4
11 Gorno Lisice 4 1 0 3 4:4 3
12 Osogovo 4 0 1 3 2:5 1
13 Novaci 4 0 1 3 1:4 1
14 Shkupi 4 0 0 4 1:11 0
Promotion - 1. MFL 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - 1. MFL (Relegation)