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Pelister vs Shkendija Haracine

North Macedonia North Macedonia

1. MFL 2025/2026
Sun, May 31, 2026
1 - 2
02:30 PM
Our Tip

Match Events

20'
Krstevski G.
28'
Sub
Ljamalari A. In: Dimov H.
Out: Ljamalari A.
31'
Stolevski A.

AI Match Summary

The 1. MFL 2025/2026 game between Pelister and Shkendija Haracine finished 1-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Shkendija Haracine.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

30%
Pelister
39%
Draws
31%
Shkendija Haracine
Draw rate projection: 39% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

65% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Shkendija Haracine come out ahead of Pelister on wins alone.
  • 39% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71%
Pelister Clean Sheet 11%
Shkendija Haracine Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Pelister Shkendija Haracine
Matches Played 29 31
Wins 8 19
Draws 10 7
Losses 11 5
Goals Scored 2 2.88
Goals Conceded 0.75 1.25
Expected Goals (xG) 2.00 2.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.75 1.25

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 31, 2026 1. MFL
Pelister vs Shkendija Haracine
1:2
Oct 21, 2025 Macedonian Cup
Shkendija Haracine vs Pelister
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Pelister Compare

Top Goalscorer Petkovski P.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.54
Avg xA / game 1

Shkendija Haracine Compare

Top Goalscorer Nazifi Z.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 2.62
Avg xA / game 1.6

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Pelister 29 / 100
Shkendija Haracine 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Pelister Shkendija Haracine

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick PEL Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Pelister found the back of the net in 66% of recent matches (29 games).

Shkendija Haracine has conceded goals in 61% of their last 31 outings.

Historical meetings average 2.00 goals per match.

Recent resilience: Pelister stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Pelister VS Shkendija Haracine
2 Goals Scored 2.88
0.75 Goals Conceded 1.25
50% Over 1.5 88%
38% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 50%

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Final
Pelister1
Shkendija Haracine2
Brera Strumica0
FK Skopje1