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Pelotas vs EC Guarani

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Gaucho 2
Our Tip

Match Events

9' Event
42' Event
49' Event
Penalty Missed

AI Match Summary

The Gaucho 2 game between Pelotas and EC Guarani finished 2-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward EC Guarani.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

20%
Pelotas
35%
Draws
45%
EC Guarani
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: EC Guarani

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

35% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and EC Guarani come out ahead of Pelotas on wins alone.
  • Model gives Pelotas a 36% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Gaucho 2 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 38%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.2%
Pelotas Clean Sheet 18%
EC Guarani Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Pelotas EC Guarani
Matches Played 28 27
Wins 10 16
Draws 9 7
Losses 9 4
Goals Scored 1.46 1.93
Goals Conceded 1.18 0.81
Expected Goals (xG) 1.44 1.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 13, 2026 Gaucho 2
Pelotas vs EC Guarani
2:3
Jun 4, 2023 Gaucho 2
EC Guarani vs Pelotas
0:1
May 28, 2023 Gaucho 2
Pelotas vs EC Guarani
4:0
May 29, 2022 Gaucho 2
Pelotas vs EC Guarani
1:0
Apr 28, 2022 Gaucho 2
EC Guarani vs Pelotas
2:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Pelotas 36 / 100
EC Guarani 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Pelotas EC Guarani

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Pelotas found the back of the net in 75% of recent matches (28 games).

These sides typically produce 2.80 goals when they meet.

Recent resilience: Pelotas stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Defensive concern: EC Guarani conceded in 48% of 27 recent games.

Scoring Trends

Pelotas VS EC Guarani
1.13 Goals Scored 1.38
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.75
63% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Pelotas

(Home)
16 Sept
Apafut
2 : 1
Pelotas
13 Sept
Pelotas
2 : 3
EC Guarani
09 Sept
Pelotas
0 : 0
Aimore
05 Sept
Esportivo Bento Goncalves
1 : 1
Pelotas
02 Sept
Santa Cruz RS
0 : 0
Pelotas
Page 1 of 6

EC Guarani

(Away)
13 Sept
Pelotas
2 : 3
EC Guarani
09 Sept
EC Guarani
0 : 2
Apafut
05 Sept
Gramadense
2 : 2
EC Guarani
01 Sept
EC Guarani
1 : 0
Lajeadense
26 Aug
GE Bage
1 : 0
EC Guarani
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Passo Fundo 13 7 5 1 19:8 26
2 Veranopolis 13 6 4 3 11:6 22
3 Esportivo Bento Goncalves 13 5 6 2 15:10 21
4 Uniao Frederiquense De Futebol 13 5 6 2 14:9 21
5 Santa Cruz RS 13 5 6 2 12:8 21
6 Apafut 13 5 5 3 16:11 20
7 Aimore 13 5 5 3 13:11 20
8 Brasil de Farroupilha 13 4 8 1 13:9 20
9 Brasil de Pelotas 13 4 7 2 12:8 19
10 Pelotas 13 3 6 4 12:15 15
11 EC Guarani 13 3 6 4 14:18 15
12 SC Gaucho 13 3 3 7 10:13 12
13 GE Bage 13 2 6 5 9:16 12
14 GE Gloria 13 2 5 6 11:15 11
15 Gramadense 13 1 6 6 8:17 9
16 Lajeadense 13 1 2 10 5:20 5
Promotion - Gaucho 2 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Gaucho 3 2027 (Main)