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Pena Balsamaiso vs CD Tedeon Prediction & H2H Stats

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Tercera RFEF - Group 16 2024/2025
Pena Balsamaiso Logo

Pena Balsamaiso

3 - 1
FT
CD Tedeon Logo

CD Tedeon

Our Tip

Match Events

15' Event
Medrano A.
43' Event
Lorente M.
75' Event
Romero A. C.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Pena Balsamaiso in this Tercera RFEF - Group 16 2024/2025 matchup, with the score ending 3-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Pena Balsamaiso.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

0%
Pena Balsamaiso
15%
Draws
85%
CD Tedeon
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: CD Tedeon

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Low Confidence
  • Pena Balsamaiso have won more games recently than CD Tedeon.
  • Win probability leans Pena Balsamaiso's way, sitting at 36%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.8%
Pena Balsamaiso Clean Sheet 13%
CD Tedeon Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Pena Balsamaiso CD Tedeon
Matches Played 34 29
Wins 3 2
Draws 11 7
Losses 20 20
Goals Scored 0.94 0.72
Goals Conceded 2.35 2.59
Expected Goals (xG) 1.56 1.69
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 11, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 16
CD Tedeon vs Pena Balsamaiso
1:3
Jan 12, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 16
Pena Balsamaiso vs CD Tedeon
3:1
Apr 14, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 16
CD Tedeon vs Pena Balsamaiso
1:0
Nov 26, 2023 Tercera RFEF - Group 16
Pena Balsamaiso vs CD Tedeon
0:1
Feb 28, 2016 Tercera RFEF - Group 16
CD Tedeon vs Pena Balsamaiso
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Pena Balsamaiso Compare

Top Goalscorer Medrano A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Lorente M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.2
Avg xA / game 0.78

CD Tedeon Compare

Top Goalscorer Romero A. C.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.54
Avg xA / game 0.94

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Pena Balsamaiso 35 / 100
CD Tedeon 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Pena Balsamaiso CD Tedeon

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: CD Tedeon conceded in 93% of 29 recent games.

Away concern: CD Tedeon has suffered 5 losses in 5 recent matches.

H2H data points to 2.40 goals as a typical output.

Pena Balsamaiso's goal record stands at 56% scoring rate across 34 recent games.

Scoring Trends

Pena Balsamaiso VS CD Tedeon
0.63 Goals Scored 0
2.38 Goals Conceded 2.5
63% Over 1.5 50%
50% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Pena Balsamaiso

(Home)
10 May
Pena Balsamaiso
0 : 5
UD Logrones B
30 Apr
Oyonesa
4 : 3
Pena Balsamaiso
26 Apr
Pena Balsamaiso
0 : 2
Pradejon
19 Apr
Anguiano
4 : 2
Pena Balsamaiso
12 Apr
Pena Balsamaiso
2 : 5
Haro Deportivo
Page 1 of 7

CD Tedeon

(Away)
26 Sept
Anaitasuna FT
5 : 0
CD Tedeon
11 May
CD Tedeon
1 : 3
Pena Balsamaiso
04 May
Berceo
4 : 0
CD Tedeon
27 Apr
CD Tedeon
1 : 3
Casalarreina CF
16 Apr
Varea
3 : 1
CD Tedeon
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Naxara 34 30 3 1 107:12 93
2 UD Logrones B 34 25 4 5 91:29 79
3 Varea 34 20 8 6 65:35 68
4 Arnedo 34 18 7 9 64:35 61
5 Oyonesa 34 16 8 10 52:36 56
6 CDFC La Calzada 34 15 9 10 45:31 54
7 CD Calahorra B 34 12 13 9 51:43 49
8 Pena Balsamaiso 34 14 5 15 46:52 47
9 Yague 34 11 12 11 41:66 45
10 Agoncillo 34 10 12 12 36:44 42
11 Berceo 34 11 7 16 40:47 40
12 Comillas CF 34 11 4 19 40:52 37
13 Haro Deportivo 34 9 9 16 32:54 36
14 Vianes 34 9 6 19 30:44 33
15 Autol 34 7 10 17 27:58 31
16 Casalarreina CF 34 8 4 22 36:88 28
17 River Ebro 34 7 7 20 29:59 28
18 CD Tedeon 34 4 10 20 26:73 22
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 16 2024/2025 (Play Offs)