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Pena Balsamaiso vs Oyonesa

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Tercera RFEF - Group 16 2025/2026
Pena Balsamaiso Logo

Pena Balsamaiso

1 - 3
FT
Oyonesa Logo

Oyonesa

Our Tip

Match Events

9' Event
Perez R.
15' Event
Arnaez J.
48' Event
Munilla I.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Tercera RFEF - Group 16 2025/2026 game between Pena Balsamaiso and Oyonesa finished 1-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Oyonesa.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

0%
Pena Balsamaiso
15%
Draws
85%
Oyonesa
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Oyonesa

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Pena Balsamaiso haven't matched Oyonesa's recent run of results.
  • Model gives Oyonesa a 85% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Tercera RFEF - Group 16 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Oyonesa have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 48%
Over 4.5 Goals 22%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.2%
Pena Balsamaiso Clean Sheet 10%
Oyonesa Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Pena Balsamaiso Oyonesa
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 0 12
Draws 10 8
Losses 20 9
Goals Scored 0.77 1.41
Goals Conceded 2.53 1.28
Expected Goals (xG) 1.08 2.54
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 30, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 16
Oyonesa vs Pena Balsamaiso
4:3
Jan 4, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 16
Pena Balsamaiso vs Oyonesa
1:3
Apr 16, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 16
Oyonesa vs Pena Balsamaiso
2:0
Dec 6, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 16
Pena Balsamaiso vs Oyonesa
2:1
Jan 28, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 16
Oyonesa vs Pena Balsamaiso
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Pena Balsamaiso Compare

Top Goalscorer Munilla I.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.83
Avg xA / game 0.54

Oyonesa Compare

Top Goalscorer Perez R.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Arnaez J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.31
Avg xA / game 1.41

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Pena Balsamaiso 10 / 100
Oyonesa 75 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Pena Balsamaiso Oyonesa

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Oyonesa Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 3.60 goals as a typical output.

Oyonesa has conceded goals in 69% of their last 29 outings.

Oyonesa lost 4 of their last 5 games.

Pena Balsamaiso found the back of the net in 50% of recent matches (30 games).

Scoring Trends

Pena Balsamaiso VS Oyonesa
1.29 Goals Scored 1.5
3.57 Goals Conceded 0.88
100% Over 1.5 63%
71% Over 2.5 38%
71% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Pena Balsamaiso

(Home)
10 May
Pena Balsamaiso
0 : 5
UD Logrones B
30 Apr
Oyonesa
4 : 3
Pena Balsamaiso
26 Apr
Pena Balsamaiso
0 : 2
Pradejon
19 Apr
Anguiano
4 : 2
Pena Balsamaiso
12 Apr
Pena Balsamaiso
2 : 5
Haro Deportivo
Page 1 of 6

Oyonesa

(Away)
13 Sept
CD Calahorra
2 : 0
Oyonesa
06 Sept
Oyonesa
1 : 2
Anguiano
26 Aug
Oyonesa
1 : 4
San Ignacio
07 Jun
Arnedo
3 : 2
Oyonesa
31 May
Oyonesa
0 : 0
Arnedo
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 UD Logrones B 34 26 8 0 99:22 86
2 Varea 34 22 7 5 51:25 73
3 Arnedo 34 21 9 4 72:26 72
4 CD Calahorra 34 17 12 5 86:26 63
5 Oyonesa 34 18 7 9 54:41 61
6 Anguiano 34 17 9 8 49:36 60
7 Haro Deportivo 34 14 9 11 54:46 51
8 Agoncillo 34 13 8 13 59:49 47
9 Vianes 34 11 9 14 39:51 42
10 Yague 34 9 13 12 48:52 40
11 San Marcial 34 10 9 15 39:59 39
12 Berceo 34 10 9 15 42:50 39
13 CDFC La Calzada 34 10 8 16 40:55 38
14 Comillas CF 34 11 5 18 32:58 38
15 Pradejon 34 9 8 17 30:49 35
16 Villegas 34 7 7 20 36:66 28
17 Autol 34 4 6 24 20:80 18
18 Pena Balsamaiso 34 0 11 23 27:86 11
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 16 2025/2026 (Play Offs)