Sport Picks
Pena Deportiva vs Arenas Armilla
Spain
Tercera RFEF - Group 1 Estadio Municipal Santa Eularia 
AI Match Summary
Pena Deportiva play Arenas Armilla in the Tercera RFEF - Group 1. It looks like a close match. Recently, Pena Deportiva averaged 1.93 goals scored and 1 conceded. Arenas Armilla averaged 1.12 goals scored and 0.94 conceded. In past meetings, Pena Deportiva won 1, Arenas Armilla won 0, and they drew 1. Their last match on Jun 20, 2026 ended 5:2. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.63 for Pena Deportiva and 1.06 for Arenas Armilla. This points to a Pena Deportiva double chance or over markets.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
- Pena Deportiva picked up more points recently compared to Arenas Armilla.
- Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.63 vs 1.06 xG).
- Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Pena Deportiva | Arenas Armilla |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 34 |
| Wins | 16 | 14 |
| Draws | 9 | 11 |
| Losses | 5 | 9 |
| Goals Scored | 1.93 | 1.12 |
| Goals Conceded | 1 | 0.94 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 2.38 | 1.00 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.13 | 0.88 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Pena Deportiva Compare
Arenas Armilla Compare
Sokapicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Value Bet Detector (+EV)
Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds
Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations
Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries
Sokapicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Pena Deportiva scored in 90% of their last 30 games.
Arenas Armilla let in goals in 62% of their last 34 matches.
Games between these two average 4.50 goals.
Pena Deportiva went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.
Arenas Armilla lost 1 of their last 5 games.
Interactive Team Comparison Slider
Side-by-side comparison of team metrics