Sport Picks
Pena Deportiva vs Binissalem
Spain
Tercera RFEF - Group 11 2025/2026 
Match Events
53'
53'
Movilla D.
66'
66'
Montori A.
AI Match Summary
Neither side could be separated in this Tercera RFEF - Group 11 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 1-1.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
39%
30%
31%
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Pena Deportiva
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
30%
/ Low Confidence
- Form's been kind to Pena Deportiva lately — more wins on the board than Binissalem.
- Pena Deportiva are the model's pick here, at 42%.
- Regular Tercera RFEF - Group 11 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 96%
Over 1.5 Goals 85.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.2%
Pena Deportiva Clean Sheet 20%
Binissalem Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Pena Deportiva | Binissalem |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 31 | 29 |
| Wins | 15 | 9 |
| Draws | 10 | 10 |
| Losses | 6 | 10 |
| Goals Scored | 1.87 | 0.83 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.16 | 0.9 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.76 | 0.79 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Feb 15, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 11
Pena Deportiva vs Binissalem
1:1
Oct 5, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 11
Binissalem vs Pena Deportiva
0:2
May 19, 2019 Tercera RFEF - Group 11
Pena Deportiva vs Binissalem
1:1
Dec 22, 2018 Tercera RFEF - Group 11
Binissalem vs Pena Deportiva
0:2
Apr 29, 2017 Tercera RFEF - Group 11
Binissalem vs Pena Deportiva
2:2
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Pena Deportiva Compare
Top Goalscorer Montori A.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.35
Avg xA / game 0.88
Binissalem Compare
Top Goalscorer Movilla D.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.72
Avg xA / game 0.44
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Pena Deportiva 42 / 100
Binissalem 36 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Pena Deportiva Binissalem
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Pena Deportiva scored in 87% of their last 31 games.
These sides typically produce 2.40 goals when they meet.
Recent resilience: Pena Deportiva stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.
Binissalem lost 3 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Pena Deportiva VS Binissalem
2.38 Goals Scored 0.71
0.88 Goals Conceded 1.14
100% Over 1.5 71%
63% Over 2.5 29%
25% Over 3.5 14%
Recent Form & Match History
Pena Deportiva
(Home) 13 Sept
Pena Deportiva
1 : 1 Yeclano
06 Sept
Deportiva Minera
1 : 0 Pena Deportiva
14 Aug
UD Ibiza
5 : 0 Pena Deportiva
20 Jun
Pena Deportiva
5 : 2 Arenas Armilla
14 Jun
Arenas Armilla
1 : 1 Pena Deportiva
Page 1 of 7
13 Sept
Pena Deportiva
1 : 1 Yeclano
20 Jun
Pena Deportiva
5 : 2 Arenas Armilla
30 May
Pena Deportiva
2 : 1 Manacor
24 May
Pena Deportiva
2 : 1 Constancia
10 May
Pena Deportiva
2 : 0 Collerense
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Binissalem
(Away) 12 Sept
Binissalem
1 : 3 Cardassar
05 Sept
Manacor
2 : 1 Binissalem
10 May
Binissalem
2 : 0 CD Son Cladera
03 May
Alcudia
1 : 1 Binissalem
25 Apr
Binissalem
0 : 2 Mallorca B
Page 1 of 6
05 Sept
Manacor
2 : 1 Binissalem
03 May
Alcudia
1 : 1 Binissalem
19 Apr
Platges de Calvia
0 : 0 Binissalem
02 Apr
Inter Ibiza
3 : 0 Binissalem
22 Mar
Cardassar
2 : 4 Binissalem
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Mallorca B | 34 | 26 | 6 | 2 | 105:22 | 84 |
| 2 | Manacor | 34 | 24 | 5 | 5 | 71:39 | 77 |
| 3 | Pena Deportiva | 34 | 20 | 8 | 6 | 69:30 | 68 |
| 4 | Constancia | 34 | 19 | 5 | 10 | 62:29 | 62 |
| 5 | Llosetense | 34 | 16 | 10 | 8 | 59:40 | 58 |
| 6 | Formentera | 34 | 13 | 13 | 8 | 40:29 | 52 |
| 7 | Inter Ibiza | 34 | 15 | 5 | 14 | 42:43 | 50 |
| 8 | Mercadal | 34 | 15 | 4 | 15 | 31:45 | 49 |
| 9 | Cardassar | 34 | 12 | 8 | 14 | 38:55 | 44 |
| 10 | Platges de Calvia | 34 | 12 | 6 | 16 | 41:43 | 42 |
| 11 | Binissalem | 34 | 10 | 11 | 13 | 26:34 | 41 |
| 12 | Santanyi | 34 | 11 | 8 | 15 | 43:58 | 41 |
| 13 | Alcudia | 34 | 11 | 5 | 18 | 37:62 | 38 |
| 14 | CD Son Cladera | 34 | 11 | 5 | 18 | 41:63 | 38 |
| 15 | Portmany | 34 | 8 | 6 | 20 | 25:50 | 30 |
| 16 | Collerense | 34 | 6 | 10 | 18 | 41:64 | 28 |
| 17 | Felanitx | 34 | 5 | 11 | 18 | 32:62 | 26 |
| 18 | Rotlet Molinar | 34 | 5 | 8 | 21 | 34:69 | 23 |
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 11 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
