Sport Picks

Spain

Tercera Division - Group 11 2014/2015

CD Montuiri

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Heatmaps Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Pena Deportiva play CD Montuiri in the Tercera Division - Group 11 2014/2015. It looks like a close match. Recently, Pena Deportiva averaged 1.92 goals scored and 1 conceded. CD Montuiri averaged 1.56 goals scored and 1.28 conceded. In past meetings, Pena Deportiva won 3, CD Montuiri won 0, and they drew 2. Their last match on Jan 31, 2016 ended 1:1. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.10 for Pena Deportiva and 1.00 for CD Montuiri. This points to a Pena Deportiva double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

39%

Pena Deportiva

31%

Draws

30%

CD Montuiri

Draw rate projection: 31% Favored: Pena Deportiva

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

73% / Medium Confidence

Pena Deportiva picked up more points recently compared to CD Montuiri.
Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.10 vs 1.00 xG).
Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%

Over 1.5 Goals 81%

Over 2.5 Goals 45%

Over 3.5 Goals 27%

Over 4.5 Goals 14%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 53%

Pena Deportiva Clean Sheet 23%

CD Montuiri Clean Sheet 14%

First Half Goal 73%

Second Half Goal 77%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Pena Deportiva	CD Montuiri
Matches Played	36	32
Wins	20	16
Draws	11	7
Losses	5	9
Goals Scored	1.92	1.56
Goals Conceded	1	1.28

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 31, 2016 Tercera RFEF - Group 11

Pena Deportiva vs CD Montuiri

Possession: 47% - 57% Cards: 0 - 1

1:1

Sep 13, 2015 Tercera RFEF - Group 11

CD Montuiri vs Pena Deportiva

Possession: 49% - 49% Cards: 0 - 0

1:1

Apr 12, 2015 Tercera RFEF - Group 11

Pena Deportiva vs CD Montuiri

Possession: 51% - 60% Cards: 3 - 1

3:1

Nov 23, 2014 Tercera RFEF - Group 11

CD Montuiri vs Pena Deportiva

Possession: 41% - 47% Cards: 1 - 0

0:1

Apr 26, 2014 Tercera RFEF - Group 11

Pena Deportiva vs CD Montuiri

Possession: 42% - 56% Cards: 2 - 3

2:0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Pena Deportiva 40 / 100

CD Montuiri 30 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Pena Deportiva CD Montuiri

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Pena Deportiva or Draw (1X)

Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals

First Half Result Home Win (HT)

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win

Value Edge +26%

3.23

Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals

Value Edge +15.2%

2.56

*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Pena Deportiva attacking → ← attacking CD Montuiri

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Pena Deportiva scored in 92% of their last 36 games.

CD Montuiri let in goals in 63% of their last 32 matches.

Games between these two average 2.20 goals.

Pena Deportiva went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.

CD Montuiri lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

71 Points in last 5 55

1.00 Goals expected (xG) 0.00

1.00 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 0.00

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Formentera	38	20	13	5	41:13	73
2	Llosetense	38	20	12	6	66:35	72
3	Pena Deportiva	38	21	9	8	57:40	72
4	Mercadal	38	19	10	9	64:32	67
5	Constancia	38	19	9	10	64:42	66
6	UD Poblense	38	18	12	8	64:37	66
7	Binissalem	38	17	15	6	63:33	66
8	Soller	38	13	14	11	52:54	53
9	Penya Ciutadella Esportiva	38	14	8	16	43:50	50
10	El Espinar Sant Rafel	38	12	12	14	45:43	48
11	CD Montuiri	38	12	9	17	49:58	45
12	Campos	38	10	13	15	34:44	43
13	Collerense	38	11	10	17	42:52	43
14	UD Alaro	38	10	12	16	44:55	42
15	Alcudia	38	9	15	14	32:52	42
16	Ferriolense	38	10	11	17	39:50	41
17	Platges de Calvia	38	7	20	11	32:41	41
18	CD Son Cladera	38	9	8	21	30:65	35
19	Manacor	38	6	13	19	36:65	31
20	Atletico Rafal	38	5	11	22	37:73	26