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Pena Deportiva vs CD Son Cladera

Spain Spain

Tercera RFEF - Group 11 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

21' Event
Moreno C.
34' Event
Fraile M.
45' Event
Fraile M.

AI Match Summary

The Tercera RFEF - Group 11 2025/2026 game between Pena Deportiva and CD Son Cladera finished 7-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Pena Deportiva.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

47%
Pena Deportiva
20%
Draws
33%
CD Son Cladera
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Pena Deportiva

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Pena Deportiva carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives Pena Deportiva a 47% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
Pena Deportiva Clean Sheet 18%
CD Son Cladera Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Pena Deportiva CD Son Cladera
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 14 11
Draws 9 4
Losses 6 15
Goals Scored 1.93 1.27
Goals Conceded 1.21 1.83
Expected Goals (xG) 2.44 1.33
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 26, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 11
Pena Deportiva vs CD Son Cladera
7:0
Jan 13, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 11
CD Son Cladera vs Pena Deportiva
0:2
Jan 6, 2019 Tercera RFEF - Group 11
CD Son Cladera vs Pena Deportiva
2:0
Aug 19, 2018 Tercera RFEF - Group 11
Pena Deportiva vs CD Son Cladera
3:0
Dec 17, 2016 Tercera RFEF - Group 11
Pena Deportiva vs CD Son Cladera
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Pena Deportiva Compare

Top Goalscorer Fraile M.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Montori A.
2 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.88
Avg xA / game 1.22

CD Son Cladera Compare

Avg xG / game 1.21
Avg xA / game 0.74

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Pena Deportiva 76 / 100
CD Son Cladera 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Pena Deportiva CD Son Cladera

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Pena Deportiva Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Pena Deportiva's goal record stands at 86% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Defensive concern: CD Son Cladera conceded in 83% of 30 recent games.

These sides typically produce 3.20 goals when they meet.

Pena Deportiva has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Pena Deportiva VS CD Son Cladera
2.38 Goals Scored 1.67
1 Goals Conceded 2.5
88% Over 1.5 100%
63% Over 2.5 50%
50% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Pena Deportiva

(Home)
14 Aug
UD Ibiza
5 : 0
Pena Deportiva
20 Jun
Pena Deportiva
5 : 2
Arenas Armilla
14 Jun
Arenas Armilla
1 : 1
Pena Deportiva
07 Jun
Manacor
1 : 3
Pena Deportiva
30 May
Pena Deportiva
2 : 1
Manacor
Page 1 of 6

CD Son Cladera

(Away)
10 May
Binissalem
2 : 0
CD Son Cladera
03 May
CD Son Cladera
4 : 3
Felanitx
26 Apr
Pena Deportiva
7 : 0
CD Son Cladera
18 Apr
CD Son Cladera
1 : 1
Portmany
11 Apr
Rotlet Molinar
0 : 2
CD Son Cladera
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Mallorca B 34 26 6 2 105:22 84
2 Manacor 34 24 5 5 71:39 77
3 Pena Deportiva 34 20 8 6 69:30 68
4 Constancia 34 19 5 10 62:29 62
5 Llosetense 34 16 10 8 59:40 58
6 Formentera 34 13 13 8 40:29 52
7 Inter Ibiza 34 15 5 14 42:43 50
8 Mercadal 34 15 4 15 31:45 49
9 Cardassar 34 12 8 14 38:55 44
10 Platges de Calvia 34 12 6 16 41:43 42
11 Binissalem 34 10 11 13 26:34 41
12 Santanyi 34 11 8 15 43:58 41
13 Alcudia 34 11 5 18 37:62 38
14 CD Son Cladera 34 11 5 18 41:63 38
15 Portmany 34 8 6 20 25:50 30
16 Collerense 34 6 10 18 41:64 28
17 Felanitx 34 5 11 18 32:62 26
18 Rotlet Molinar 34 5 8 21 34:69 23
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 11 2025/2026 (Play Offs)