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Pena Deportiva vs Mallorca B

Spain Spain

Tercera RFEF - Group 11 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

6' Event
Mubarak A.
23' Event
Pena A.
41' Event
Vera Botta A. M.

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Tercera RFEF - Group 11 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 2-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

23%
Pena Deportiva
30%
Draws
47%
Mallorca B
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Mallorca B

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Mallorca B lately — more wins on the board than Pena Deportiva.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
  • Regular Tercera RFEF - Group 11 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31.200000000000003%
Pena Deportiva Clean Sheet 21%
Mallorca B Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Pena Deportiva Mallorca B
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 13 18
Draws 9 7
Losses 8 4
Goals Scored 1.7 2.34
Goals Conceded 1.2 0.86
Expected Goals (xG) 1.44 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 12, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 11
Pena Deportiva vs Mallorca B
2:2
Dec 6, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 11
Mallorca B vs Pena Deportiva
1:0
Jan 12, 2025 Segunda RFEF - Group 3
Mallorca B vs Pena Deportiva
1:0
Sep 1, 2024 Segunda RFEF - Group 3
Pena Deportiva vs Mallorca B
2:1
Mar 26, 2023 Segunda RFEF - Group 3
Pena Deportiva vs Mallorca B
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Pena Deportiva Compare

Top Goalscorer Mubarak A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Vera Botta A. M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.11
Avg xA / game 0.72

Mallorca B Compare

Top Goalscorer Pena A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Rubio A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Pena Deportiva 32 / 100
Mallorca B 41 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Pena Deportiva Mallorca B

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Mallorca B Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Pena Deportiva scored in 80% of their last 30 outings.

H2H data points to 2.20 goals as a typical output.

Mallorca B let in goals in 45% of their last 29 matches.

Pena Deportiva has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Pena Deportiva VS Mallorca B
2 Goals Scored 0.75
1.5 Goals Conceded 0.88
100% Over 1.5 50%
63% Over 2.5 25%
38% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Pena Deportiva

(Home)
20 Sept
Ilicitano
1 : 0
Pena Deportiva
13 Sept
Pena Deportiva
1 : 1
Yeclano
06 Sept
Deportiva Minera
1 : 0
Pena Deportiva
14 Aug
UD Ibiza
5 : 0
Pena Deportiva
20 Jun
Pena Deportiva
5 : 2
Arenas Armilla
Page 1 of 6

Mallorca B

(Away)
20 Sept
Real Murcia B
0 : 1
Mallorca B
13 Sept
Mallorca B
0 : 0
Deportiva Minera
06 Sept
Valencia B
1 : 1
Mallorca B
15 Aug
Mallorca B
1 : 3
Baleares
29 Jul
Mallorca B
1 : 0
Sant Andreu
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Mallorca B 34 26 6 2 105:22 84
2 Manacor 34 24 5 5 71:39 77
3 Pena Deportiva 34 20 8 6 69:30 68
4 Constancia 34 19 5 10 62:29 62
5 Llosetense 34 16 10 8 59:40 58
6 Formentera 34 13 13 8 40:29 52
7 Inter Ibiza 34 15 5 14 42:43 50
8 Mercadal 34 15 4 15 31:45 49
9 Cardassar 34 12 8 14 38:55 44
10 Platges de Calvia 34 12 6 16 41:43 42
11 Binissalem 34 10 11 13 26:34 41
12 Santanyi 34 11 8 15 43:58 41
13 Alcudia 34 11 5 18 37:62 38
14 CD Son Cladera 34 11 5 18 41:63 38
15 Portmany 34 8 6 20 25:50 30
16 Collerense 34 6 10 18 41:64 28
17 Felanitx 34 5 11 18 32:62 26
18 Rotlet Molinar 34 5 8 21 34:69 23
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 11 2025/2026 (Play Offs)