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Pena Deportiva vs Real Murcia B - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Spain Spain

Segunda RFEF - Group 3
Our Tip

Match Events

36' Event
Yeboah D.
(Penalty)
74' Event
Alemany C.

AI Match Summary

The Segunda RFEF - Group 3 game between Pena Deportiva and Real Murcia B finished 0-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Real Murcia B.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Pena Deportiva
20%
Draws
40%
Real Murcia B
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

40% / Low Confidence
  • Pena Deportiva carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
  • Regular Segunda RFEF - Group 3 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 33.6%
Pena Deportiva Clean Sheet 18%
Real Murcia B Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Pena Deportiva Real Murcia B
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 12 10
Draws 8 8
Losses 9 11
Goals Scored 1.72 1.28
Goals Conceded 1.31 1.41
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 1.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 27, 2026 Segunda RFEF - Group 3
Pena Deportiva vs Real Murcia B
0:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Pena Deportiva Compare

Avg xG / game 1.15
Avg xA / game 0.75

Real Murcia B Compare

Top Goalscorer Alemany C.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.19
Avg xA / game 0.73

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Pena Deportiva 32 / 100
Real Murcia B 41 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Pena Deportiva Real Murcia B

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Real Murcia B Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Pena Deportiva scored in 79% of their last 29 outings.

Real Murcia B's defensive record shows goals conceded in 72% of 29 matches.

Games between these two average 2.00 goals.

Real Murcia B lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Pena Deportiva VS Real Murcia B
1.25 Goals Scored 0.88
1.75 Goals Conceded 1.75
75% Over 1.5 75%
38% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Pena Deportiva

(Home)
11 Oct
Pena Deportiva
3 : 1
Orihuela
04 Oct
Valencia B
3 : 2
Pena Deportiva
27 Sept
Pena Deportiva
0 : 2
Real Murcia B
20 Sept
Ilicitano
1 : 0
Pena Deportiva
13 Sept
Pena Deportiva
1 : 1
Yeclano
Page 1 of 6

Real Murcia B

(Away)
11 Oct
Real Murcia B
1 : 1
Yeclano
04 Oct
Castellonense
3 : 0
Real Murcia B
27 Sept
Pena Deportiva
0 : 2
Real Murcia B
20 Sept
Real Murcia B
0 : 1
Mallorca B
13 Sept
La Nucia
5 : 1
Real Murcia B
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Castellon B 6 4 0 2 13:7 12
2 La Nucia 5 4 0 1 9:3 12
3 Castellonense 6 4 0 2 10:6 12
4 Deportiva Minera 6 3 2 1 8:6 11
5 Alcoyano 5 3 1 1 6:4 10
6 UCAM Murcia 5 3 0 2 12:6 9
7 CF Intercity 5 2 3 0 7:5 9
8 Yeclano 6 2 3 1 5:4 9
9 Ciudad Cieza 5 2 2 1 7:3 8
10 Ilicitano 6 2 1 3 7:9 7
11 Orihuela 6 2 1 3 7:14 7
12 Mallorca B 6 1 3 2 4:6 6
13 Baleares 6 1 3 2 8:11 6
14 UD Poblense 6 2 0 4 5:8 6
15 Lorca Deportiva 5 1 2 2 3:4 5
16 Pena Deportiva 6 1 1 4 6:9 4
17 Valencia B 6 1 1 4 6:11 4
18 Real Murcia B 6 1 1 4 5:12 4
Promotion - Segunda RFEF - Group 1 (Promotion - Play Offs)
Relegation - Segunda RFEF - Group 1 (Play Out)