Sport Picks
Pena Deportiva vs UCAM Murcia - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Spain
Segunda RFEF - Group 3 
AI Match Summary
Pena Deportiva host UCAM Murcia in the Segunda RFEF - Group 3. This has the makings of an open, high-scoring game. UCAM Murcia have shipped 1.31 goals a game lately, while Pena Deportiva have conceded 1.31 and scored 1.72. Past meetings favor Pena Deportiva slightly — 1-1-0 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on May 28, 2023, ending 0:2. Model xG sits at 1.31 vs 2.19, favoring UCAM Murcia. The model tips Under 2.5 goals in this one.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
- Pena Deportiva haven't matched UCAM Murcia's recent run of results.
- Win probability leans UCAM Murcia's way, sitting at 90%.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Pena Deportiva | UCAM Murcia |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 29 |
| Wins | 12 | 15 |
| Draws | 8 | 4 |
| Losses | 9 | 10 |
| Goals Scored | 1.72 | 1.86 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.31 | 1.31 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.31 | 2.19 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Attack & Defence Capability Index
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Pena Deportiva scored in 79% of their last 29 games.
UCAM Murcia let in goals in 79% of their last 29 matches.
These sides typically produce 1.50 goals when they meet.
Solid form: Pena Deportiva remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.
Scoring Trends
Recent Form & Match History
Pena Deportiva
(Home)UCAM Murcia
(Away)League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | UCAM Murcia | 6 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 14:6 | 12 |
| 2 | Castellon B | 6 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 13:7 | 12 |
| 3 | La Nucia | 6 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 10:6 | 12 |
| 4 | Castellonense | 6 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 10:6 | 12 |
| 5 | Ciudad Cieza | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 10:4 | 11 |
| 6 | Deportiva Minera | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 8:6 | 11 |
| 7 | Alcoyano | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 6:6 | 10 |
| 8 | Yeclano | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 5:4 | 9 |
| 9 | CF Intercity | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 8:8 | 9 |
| 10 | Lorca Deportiva | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 6:5 | 8 |
| 11 | Ilicitano | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 7:9 | 7 |
| 12 | Orihuela | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 7:14 | 7 |
| 13 | Mallorca B | 6 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 4:6 | 6 |
| 14 | Baleares | 6 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 8:11 | 6 |
| 15 | UD Poblense | 6 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 5:8 | 6 |
| 16 | Pena Deportiva | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 6:9 | 4 |
| 17 | Valencia B | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 6:11 | 4 |
| 18 | Real Murcia B | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 5:12 | 4 |
