Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Pena Deportiva vs UD Alaro Prediction & H2H Stats

Spain Spain

Tercera Division - Group 11 2014/2015
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Tercera Division - Group 11 2014/2015 game between Pena Deportiva and UD Alaro finished 0-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward UD Alaro.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

85%
Pena Deportiva
15%
Draws
0%
UD Alaro
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Pena Deportiva

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Pena Deportiva carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 85% — that's where the model lands on Pena Deportiva taking it.
  • Regular Tercera Division - Group 11 2014/2015 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69%
Pena Deportiva Clean Sheet 20%
UD Alaro Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Pena Deportiva UD Alaro
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 13 2
Draws 8 7
Losses 9 21
Goals Scored 1.73 0.37
Goals Conceded 1.33 1.57
Expected Goals (xG) 1.79 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 17, 2016 Tercera RFEF - Group 11
Pena Deportiva vs UD Alaro
3:2
Aug 29, 2015 Tercera RFEF - Group 11
UD Alaro vs Pena Deportiva
1:1
Mar 29, 2015 Tercera RFEF - Group 11
Pena Deportiva vs UD Alaro
0:1
Nov 8, 2014 Tercera RFEF - Group 11
UD Alaro vs Pena Deportiva
1:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Pena Deportiva 85 / 100
UD Alaro 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Pena Deportiva UD Alaro

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Pena Deportiva Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Pena Deportiva's goal record stands at 80% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

UD Alaro let in goals in 83% of their last 30 matches.

Difficult form: UD Alaro registered 5 defeats in their last 5 games.

Games between these two average 2.75 goals.

Scoring Trends

Pena Deportiva VS -
2.38 Goals Scored 0
1 Goals Conceded 0
88% Over 1.5 0%
63% Over 2.5 0%
50% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Pena Deportiva

(Home)
04 Oct
Valencia B
3 : 2
Pena Deportiva
27 Sept
Pena Deportiva
0 : 2
Real Murcia B
20 Sept
Ilicitano
1 : 0
Pena Deportiva
13 Sept
Pena Deportiva
1 : 1
Yeclano
06 Sept
Deportiva Minera
1 : 0
Pena Deportiva
Page 1 of 6

UD Alaro

(Away)
15 May
Collerense
3 : 0
UD Alaro
07 May
UD Alaro
0 : 4
Alcudia
29 Apr
UD Poblense
4 : 0
UD Alaro
24 Apr
UD Alaro
0 : 1
Mercadal
17 Apr
Formentera
3 : 0
UD Alaro
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Formentera 38 20 13 5 41:13 73
2 Llosetense 38 20 12 6 66:35 72
3 Pena Deportiva 38 21 9 8 57:40 72
4 Mercadal 38 19 10 9 64:32 67
5 Constancia 38 19 9 10 64:42 66
6 UD Poblense 38 18 12 8 64:37 66
7 Binissalem 38 17 15 6 63:33 66
8 Soller 38 13 14 11 52:54 53
9 Penya Ciutadella Esportiva 38 14 8 16 43:50 50
10 El Espinar Sant Rafel 38 12 12 14 45:43 48
11 CD Montuiri 38 12 9 17 49:58 45
12 Campos 38 10 13 15 34:44 43
13 Collerense 38 11 10 17 42:52 43
14 UD Alaro 38 10 12 16 44:55 42
15 Alcudia 38 9 15 14 32:52 42
16 Ferriolense 38 10 11 17 39:50 41
17 Platges de Calvia 38 7 20 11 32:41 41
18 CD Son Cladera 38 9 8 21 30:65 35
19 Manacor 38 6 13 19 36:65 31
20 Atletico Rafal 38 5 11 22 37:73 26
Promotion - Tercera Division - Play Offs 2014/2015 (Main)
Promotion - Tercera Division - Promotion Play Offs 2014/2015 (Main)