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Pena vs Utebo FC - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Spain Spain

Segunda RFEF - Group 2
Our Tip

Match Events

59' Event
Moratalla C.
Own Goal
79' Event
Recalde J.

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Segunda RFEF - Group 2 matchup, with the score ending 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

35%
Pena
35%
Draws
30%
Utebo FC
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

35% / Low Confidence
  • Pena have won more games recently than Utebo FC.
  • Model gives Pena a 36% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 38%
Over 3.5 Goals 13%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77.4%
Pena Clean Sheet 17%
Utebo FC Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Pena Utebo FC
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 15 11
Draws 8 7
Losses 6 11
Goals Scored 1.69 1.31
Goals Conceded 1.24 1.24
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 6, 2026 Segunda RFEF - Group 2
Pena vs Utebo FC
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Pena Compare

Top Goalscorer Recalde J.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69

Utebo FC Compare

Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Pena 36 / 100
Utebo FC 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Pena Utebo FC

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Pena found the back of the net in 90% of recent matches (29 games).

Defensive concern: Utebo FC conceded in 79% of 29 recent games.

Historical meetings average 2.00 goals per match.

Pena has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Pena VS Utebo FC
1.25 Goals Scored 1.38
1.38 Goals Conceded 1.5
100% Over 1.5 100%
50% Over 2.5 63%
13% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Pena

(Home)
03 Oct
Pena
4 : 0
SD Logrones
26 Sept
Barcelona B
4 : 0
Pena
19 Sept
Pena
2 : 1
Espanyol B
12 Sept
CE Manresa
2 : 0
Pena
06 Sept
Pena
1 : 1
Utebo FC
Page 1 of 6

Utebo FC

(Away)
04 Oct
UD Barbastro
1 : 1
Utebo FC
27 Sept
Utebo FC
0 : 1
Reus FC Reddis
19 Sept
Olot
1 : 2
Utebo FC
13 Sept
Utebo FC
1 : 1
SD Logrones
06 Sept
Pena
1 : 1
Utebo FC
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Barcelona B 5 4 1 0 12:1 13
2 Osasuna B 5 4 0 1 10:4 12
3 Olot 5 3 1 1 11:7 10
4 Ebro 5 3 1 1 7:4 10
5 Espanyol B 4 3 0 1 13:3 9
6 CE Manresa 5 3 0 2 11:5 9
7 Girona B 4 2 1 1 11:9 7
8 Tudelano 5 2 1 2 7:6 7
9 Terrassa 4 2 1 1 2:1 7
10 Pena 5 2 1 2 7:8 7
11 UD Barbastro 5 1 3 1 5:5 6
12 Utebo FC 5 1 3 1 5:5 6
13 Reus FC Reddis 5 2 0 3 3:7 6
14 UD Logrones B 5 1 2 2 5:7 5
15 Calamocha 5 1 0 4 3:13 3
16 SD Logrones 5 0 2 3 4:11 2
17 Naxara 4 0 1 3 1:8 1
18 Arnedo 5 0 0 5 3:16 0
Promotion - Segunda RFEF - Group 1 (Promotion - Play Offs)
Relegation - Segunda RFEF - Group 1 (Play Out)