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Pena vs Valle Egues

Spain Spain

Tercera RFEF - Group 15 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

29' Event
Oscar L.

AI Match Summary

The Tercera RFEF - Group 15 2025/2026 game between Pena and Valle Egues finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Pena.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Pena
35%
Draws
25%
Valle Egues
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Pena

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

40% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Pena come out ahead of Valle Egues on wins alone.
  • Pena are the model's pick here, at 80%.
  • Regular Tercera RFEF - Group 15 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 38%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78.6%
Pena Clean Sheet 17%
Valle Egues Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Pena Valle Egues
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 16 10
Draws 8 10
Losses 6 10
Goals Scored 1.63 1.6
Goals Conceded 1.17 1.67
Expected Goals (xG) 2.06 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 14, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 15
Pena vs Valle Egues
1:0
Nov 2, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 15
Valle Egues vs Pena
0:2
May 24, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 15
Valle Egues vs Pena
1:1
May 17, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 15
Pena vs Valle Egues
1:0
Apr 5, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 15
Valle Egues vs Pena
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Pena Compare

Top Goalscorer Oscar L.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.58
Avg xA / game 1.03

Valle Egues Compare

Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Pena 75 / 100
Valle Egues 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Pena Valle Egues

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Pena Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Pena's goal record stands at 90% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Valle Egues has conceded goals in 83% of their last 30 outings.

Recent resilience: Pena stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Games between these two average 1.40 goals.

Scoring Trends

Pena VS Valle Egues
1.88 Goals Scored 1.75
1 Goals Conceded 2.25
100% Over 1.5 100%
50% Over 2.5 75%
13% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Pena

(Home)
19 Sept
Pena
2 : 1
Espanyol B
12 Sept
CE Manresa
2 : 0
Pena
06 Sept
Pena
1 : 1
Utebo FC
25 Aug
Erriberri
0 : 3
Pena
18 Aug
Mutilvera
1 : 1
Pena
Page 1 of 6

Valle Egues

(Away)
19 Sept
Valle Egues
1 : 1
Mutilvera
13 Sept
Subiza
5 : 2
Valle Egues
05 Sept
Valle Egues
2 : 2
CD Beti Onak
28 Aug
Beasain
2 : 3
Valle Egues
09 May
Cirbonero
2 : 0
Valle Egues
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Pena 34 24 5 5 65:39 77
2 Pamplona 34 22 8 4 65:28 74
3 Izarra 34 16 13 5 64:31 61
4 Subiza 34 15 9 10 46:31 54
5 AD San Juan 34 12 16 6 43:28 52
6 Huarte 34 15 2 17 49:47 47
7 Beti Kozkor 34 12 10 12 50:43 46
8 Ezcabarte 34 12 9 13 47:49 45
9 Cortes 34 13 5 16 37:51 44
10 Cirbonero 34 11 10 13 38:42 43
11 Txantrea 34 12 7 15 52:67 43
12 Valle Egues 34 11 9 14 48:57 42
13 Bidezarra 34 10 9 15 34:40 39
14 Aoiz 34 9 9 16 41:49 36
15 CD Beti Onak 34 9 9 16 42:55 36
16 CD Ardoi 34 8 12 14 46:56 36
17 Oberena 34 7 10 17 32:61 31
18 CA Artajones 34 7 10 17 36:61 31
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 15 2025/2026 (Play Offs)