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Penafiel vs Feirense - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Portugal Portugal

Liga Portugal 2 Estadio Municipal 25 de Abril, Penafiel
Mon, Nov 2, 2026
VS
06:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Penafiel host Feirense in the Liga Portugal 2. This matchup has a clear pattern when you look at past meetings. Penafiel have averaged 1.27 scored and 1.3 conceded recently, against Feirense's 0.86 scored and 1.21 conceded. Past meetings favor Feirense slightly — 1-4-0 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Mar 15, 2026, ending 1:0. xG projections (1.75 - 0.63) back Penafiel to edge this. Home (1) are the model's selection here, or BTTS: GG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

85%
Penafiel
15%
Draws
0%
Feirense
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Penafiel

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Penafiel lately — more wins on the board than Feirense.
  • Model gives Penafiel a 85% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Feirense here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67.8%
Penafiel Clean Sheet 20%
Feirense Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Penafiel Feirense
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 11 9
Draws 7 6
Losses 12 14
Goals Scored 1.27 0.86
Goals Conceded 1.3 1.21
Expected Goals (xG) 1.75 0.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 15, 2026 Liga Portugal 2
Feirense vs Penafiel
1:0
Oct 19, 2025 Liga Portugal 2
Penafiel vs Feirense
1:2
Apr 19, 2025 Liga Portugal 2
Penafiel vs Feirense
1:2
Dec 7, 2024 Liga Portugal 2
Feirense vs Penafiel
3:0
Jan 29, 2024 Liga Portugal 2
Penafiel vs Feirense
2:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Penafiel 85 / 100
Feirense 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Penafiel Feirense

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Penafiel Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Feirense's recent record shows 5 losses from the last 5 matches.

Penafiel's goal record stands at 63% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Feirense's defensive record shows goals conceded in 66% of 29 matches.

Historical meetings average 2.60 goals per match.

Scoring Trends

Penafiel VS Feirense
2.13 Goals Scored 0.25
1 Goals Conceded 1.38
88% Over 1.5 38%
75% Over 2.5 25%
38% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Penafiel

(Home)
17 Oct
Penafiel
0 : 1
Leca
09 Oct
Penafiel
1 : 2
AFS
25 Sept
Penafiel
2 : 2
Dep. A Coruna
19 Sept
Oliveirense
1 : 2
Penafiel
12 Sept
FC Felgueiras
1 : 2
Penafiel
Page 1 of 6

Feirense

(Away)
11 Oct
SC Farense
2 : 1
Feirense
19 Sept
SC Salgueiros
1 : 0
Feirense
13 Sept
Chaves
1 : 0
Feirense
05 Sept
Feirense
1 : 3
Sporting CP B
30 Aug
AFS
2 : 0
Feirense
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Lusitania FC 7 5 2 0 12:5 17
2 Sporting CP B 7 5 0 2 10:6 15
3 SC Farense 7 4 2 1 13:6 14
4 Penafiel 7 4 1 2 14:7 13
5 Benfica B 7 4 1 2 8:5 13
6 Academica 7 4 0 3 10:10 12
7 Tondela 7 4 0 3 8:6 12
8 Vizela 7 3 2 2 7:6 11
9 Leiria 7 3 1 3 10:9 10
10 Leixoes 7 3 1 3 9:8 10
11 Portimonense 7 3 1 3 6:7 10
12 AFS 7 2 3 2 8:7 9
13 FC Porto B 7 2 1 4 6:14 7
14 FC Felgueiras 7 1 3 3 5:7 6
15 Torreense 7 1 3 3 7:10 6
16 Amarante FC 7 1 2 4 6:10 5
17 Chaves 7 1 2 4 6:14 5
18 Feirense 7 0 1 6 2:10 1
Promotion - Liga Portugal 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Liga Portugal (Relegation)
Relegation - Liga Portugal 2 (Relegation)
Relegation - Liga 3 2027/2028 (Main)