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Penafiel vs Leganes

World World

Club Friendly
Our Tip

Match Events

15' Event
Millan A.
(Penalty)
84' Event
Gothler A.

AI Match Summary

The Club Friendly game between Penafiel and Leganes finished 0-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Leganes.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

12%
Penafiel
15%
Draws
73%
Leganes
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Leganes

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

73% / High Confidence
  • Leganes's 1 goals per match outpaces what Penafiel have produced (0.86).
  • 73% — that's where the model lands on Leganes taking it.
  • Regular Club Friendly form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 13%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 66.6%
Penafiel Clean Sheet 20%
Leganes Clean Sheet 20%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Penafiel Leganes
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 8 8
Draws 5 7
Losses 16 14
Goals Scored 0.86 1
Goals Conceded 1.38 1.28
Expected Goals (xG) 0.63 1.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 24, 2026 Club Friendly
Penafiel vs Leganes
0:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Penafiel Compare

Avg xG / game 0.48
Avg xA / game 0.32

Leganes Compare

Top Goalscorer Gothler A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.08
Avg xA / game 0.66

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Penafiel 24 / 100
Leganes 49 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Penafiel Leganes

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick LEG Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Leganes has conceded goals in 66% of their last 29 outings.

Historical meetings average 2.00 goals per match.

Leganes lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Attacking prowess: Penafiel scored in 55% of their last 29 outings.

Scoring Trends

Penafiel VS Leganes
0.13 Goals Scored 0.63
1.75 Goals Conceded 1.13
63% Over 1.5 50%
25% Over 2.5 38%
13% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Penafiel

(Home)
08 Aug
Penafiel
0 : 1
Portimonense
01 Aug
Penafiel
0 : 2
Braga B
01 Aug
Penafiel
0 : 2
Gil Vicente
24 Jul
Penafiel
0 : 2
Leganes
18 Jul
Famalicao
0 : 0
Penafiel
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Leganes

(Away)
08 Aug
Leganes
0 : 1
Tenerife
07 Aug
Leganes
3 : 0
AD Merida
04 Aug
Leganes
2 : 1
Al Rayyan
01 Aug
Swansea
1 : 0
Leganes
28 Jul
Real Madrid
4 : 1
Leganes
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