Sport Picks
Penafiel vs Sporting CP B
Portugal
Liga Portugal 2 Estadio Municipal 25 de Abril, Penafiel 
Match Events
28'
28'
Sub
Mota R. In: Kaua Oliveira
Out: Mota R.
39'
39'
Alvarez D.
56'
56'
Moreira C.
AI Match Summary
The Liga Portugal 2 game between Penafiel and Sporting CP B finished 2-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Penafiel.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
53%
15%
32%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Penafiel
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
53%
/ Medium Confidence
- Look at the last few games and Penafiel come out ahead of Sporting CP B on wins alone.
- 53% — that's where the model lands on Penafiel taking it.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
- Penafiel have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30.400000000000002%
Penafiel Clean Sheet 68%
Sporting CP B Clean Sheet 20%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Penafiel | Sporting CP B |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 31 | 31 |
| Wins | 11 | 9 |
| Draws | 6 | 2 |
| Losses | 14 | 20 |
| Goals Scored | 1.19 | 0.97 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.32 | 1.26 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 0.69 | 1.56 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Aug 23, 2026 Liga Portugal 2
Penafiel vs Sporting CP B
2:0
Apr 4, 2026 Liga Portugal 2
Sporting CP B vs Penafiel
1:2
Nov 8, 2025 Liga Portugal 2
Penafiel vs Sporting CP B
1:1
Mar 14, 2018 Liga Portugal 2
Sporting CP B vs Penafiel
3:4
Oct 21, 2017 Liga Portugal 2
Penafiel vs Sporting CP B
4:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Penafiel Compare
Top Goalscorer Alvarez D.
1 Goals Assists Leader Svensson M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.53
Avg xA / game 0.34
Sporting CP B Compare
Avg xG / game 1.42
Avg xA / game 0.87
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Penafiel 95 / 100
Sporting CP B 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Penafiel Sporting CP B
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Penafiel Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Defensive concern: Sporting CP B conceded in 84% of 31 recent games.
These sides typically produce 3.80 goals when they meet.
Penafiel has registered 5 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.
Penafiel scored in 61% of their last 31 games.
Scoring Trends
Penafiel VS Sporting CP B
0.38 Goals Scored 1.13
2 Goals Conceded 1
75% Over 1.5 63%
38% Over 2.5 38%
25% Over 3.5 13%
Recent Form & Match History
Penafiel
(Home) 19 Sept
Oliveirense
1 : 2 Penafiel
12 Sept
FC Felgueiras
1 : 2 Penafiel
05 Sept
Penafiel
4 : 1 Academica
30 Aug
FC Porto B
0 : 3 Penafiel
23 Aug
Penafiel
2 : 0 Sporting CP B
Page 1 of 7
05 Sept
Penafiel
4 : 1 Academica
23 Aug
Penafiel
2 : 0 Sporting CP B
08 Aug
Penafiel
0 : 1 Portimonense
01 Aug
Penafiel
0 : 2 Braga B
01 Aug
Penafiel
0 : 2 Gil Vicente
Page 1 of 4
Sporting CP B
(Away) 14 Sept
Sporting CP B
1 : 2 Lusitania FC
05 Sept
Feirense
1 : 3 Sporting CP B
30 Aug
Sporting CP B
2 : 1 SC Farense
23 Aug
Penafiel
2 : 0 Sporting CP B
15 Aug
Sporting CP B
1 : 0 Chaves
Page 1 of 7
05 Sept
Feirense
1 : 3 Sporting CP B
23 Aug
Penafiel
2 : 0 Sporting CP B
09 Aug
AFS
0 : 1 Sporting CP B
01 Aug
Alverca
1 : 0 Sporting CP B
18 Jul
SC Farense
1 : 1 Sporting CP B
Page 1 of 4
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Lusitania FC | 6 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 11:4 | 16 |
| 2 | Penafiel | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 13:5 | 13 |
| 3 | Sporting CP B | 6 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 8:6 | 12 |
| 4 | Vizela | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 7:4 | 11 |
| 5 | Benfica B | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 7:5 | 10 |
| 6 | Leiria | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 10:7 | 10 |
| 7 | Leixoes | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 8:6 | 10 |
| 8 | Academica | 6 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 8:10 | 9 |
| 9 | Tondela | 6 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 7:6 | 9 |
| 10 | SC Farense | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 7:5 | 8 |
| 11 | Portimonense | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 4:6 | 7 |
| 12 | AFS | 6 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 6:6 | 6 |
| 13 | FC Felgueiras | 6 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 5:6 | 6 |
| 14 | Torreense | 6 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 7:9 | 6 |
| 15 | Amarante FC | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 5:8 | 5 |
| 16 | Chaves | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 5:9 | 4 |
| 17 | FC Porto B | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 4:13 | 4 |
| 18 | Feirense | 6 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 1:8 | 1 |
Promotion - Liga Portugal 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Liga Portugal (Relegation)
Relegation - Liga Portugal 2 (Relegation)
Relegation - Liga 3 2027/2028 (Main)
