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Penalva do Castelo vs Coimbroes Prediction & H2H Stats

Portugal Portugal

Campeonato de Portugal - Group B 2018/2019
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Coimbroes in this Campeonato de Portugal - Group B 2018/2019 matchup, with the score ending 0-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Coimbroes.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

23%
Penalva do Castelo
30%
Draws
47%
Coimbroes
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Coimbroes

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Penalva do Castelo haven't matched Coimbroes's recent run of results.
  • 47% — that's where the model lands on Coimbroes taking it.
  • Regular Campeonato de Portugal - Group B 2018/2019 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 69%
Over 4.5 Goals 31%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.4%
Penalva do Castelo Clean Sheet 10%
Coimbroes Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Penalva do Castelo Coimbroes
Matches Played 30 35
Wins 5 8
Draws 7 8
Losses 18 19
Goals Scored 0.7 1.03
Goals Conceded 1.93 1.6
Expected Goals (xG) 1.17 2.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 5, 2019 Campeonato de Portugal - Group B
Penalva do Castelo vs Coimbroes
0:2
Jan 6, 2019 Campeonato de Portugal - Group B
Coimbroes vs Penalva do Castelo
2:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Penalva do Castelo 22 / 100
Coimbroes 47 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Penalva do Castelo Coimbroes

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Coimbroes Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Coimbroes has conceded goals in 74% of their last 35 outings.

H2H data points to 2.00 goals as a typical output.

Coimbroes's recent record shows 3 losses from the last 5 matches.

Penalva do Castelo's goal record stands at 53% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Scoring Trends

Penalva do Castelo VS Coimbroes
0 Goals Scored 1
4 Goals Conceded 1.13
100% Over 1.5 38%
100% Over 2.5 38%
100% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Penalva do Castelo

(Home)
29 Aug
Oliveirense
4 : 0
Penalva do Castelo
12 May
Leca
2 : 0
Penalva do Castelo
05 May
Penalva do Castelo
0 : 2
Coimbroes
28 Apr
Penalva do Castelo
0 : 0
Paredes
20 Apr
Cinfaes
2 : 1
Penalva do Castelo
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Coimbroes

(Away)
13 Apr
Gondomar
0 : 0
Coimbroes
06 Apr
Coimbroes
1 : 2
Maritimo B
29 Mar
Cinfaes
3 : 1
Coimbroes
16 Mar
FC Alpendorada
2 : 1
Coimbroes
09 Mar
Coimbroes
1 : 1
AD Marco 09
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 SC Espinho 34 20 9 5 52:20 69
2 Lusitania FC 34 19 12 3 52:27 69
3 Gondomar 34 18 10 6 50:22 64
4 Agueda 34 16 12 6 43:26 60
5 Lusitano FCV 34 17 8 9 59:28 59
6 Sanjoanense 34 15 10 9 44:34 55
7 Amarante FC 34 15 9 10 45:28 54
8 Coimbroes 34 13 10 11 43:39 49
9 Maritimo B 34 12 13 9 53:40 49
10 Paredes 34 13 7 14 42:33 46
11 U. Madeira 34 12 8 14 28:35 44
12 Leca 34 12 7 15 34:41 43
13 Pedras Rubras 34 9 15 10 36:43 42
14 Cinfaes 34 11 8 15 33:40 41
15 Gafanha 34 11 4 19 46:69 37
16 Penalva do Castelo 34 7 7 20 27:66 28
17 FC Cesarense 34 4 13 17 37:55 25
18 Meda 34 0 2 32 21:99 2
Promotion - Campeonato de Portugal - Group A 2018/2019 (Play Offs)