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Penang vs Johor DT Prediction & H2H Stats

Malaysia Malaysia

FA Cup 2025 Bandaraya Stadium, Pulau Pinang
Our Tip

Match Events

6' Event
Arribas O.
27'
Kutty H.
35' Event
Raop A.

AI Match Summary

This match ends 1-2, with Johor DT advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

35%
Penang
20%
Draws
45%
Johor DT
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Johor DT

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

45% / Medium Confidence
  • Johor DT carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans Johor DT's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Johor DT arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Johor DT, who have won 3 of the last 5 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Johor DT have taken 5 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 26.8%
Penang Clean Sheet 10%
Johor DT Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Penang Johor DT
Matches Played 30 33
Wins 11 25
Draws 8 4
Losses 11 4
Goals Scored 1.07 4.12
Goals Conceded 1.27 0.76
Expected Goals (xG) 0.75 3.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 20, 2026 FA Cup
Penang vs Johor DT
2:7
Feb 27, 2026 Super League
Penang vs Johor DT
0:4
Oct 28, 2025 FA Cup
Johor DT vs Penang
3:0
Oct 17, 2025 FA Cup
Penang vs Johor DT
1:2
Sep 11, 2025 Super League
Johor DT vs Penang
6:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Penang Compare

Top Goalscorer Raop A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.58
Avg xA / game 0.38

Johor DT Compare

Top Goalscorer Arribas O.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Aketxe A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 3.13
Avg xA / game 1.91

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Penang 10 / 100
Johor DT 95 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Penang Johor DT

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Johor DT Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:3
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 5.00 goals.

Penang went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Penang's goal record stands at 53% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Johor DT let in goals in 45% of their last 33 matches.

Scoring Trends

Penang VS Johor DT
1 Goals Scored 5.13
1.75 Goals Conceded 0.5
50% Over 1.5 100%
38% Over 2.5 88%
25% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Penang

(Home)
20 Sept
Penang
2 : 7
Johor DT
12 Sept
Penang
3 : 2
Kelantan Red Warrior
09 Sept
Penang
2 : 1
Melaka FC
05 Sept
Terengganu
0 : 0
Penang
02 Sept
Melaka FC
0 : 1
Penang
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Johor DT

(Away)
20 Sept
Penang
2 : 7
Johor DT
15 Sept
Johor DT
1 : 1
Buriram United F.C.
11 Sept
Johor DT
3 : 0
Negeri Sembilan FA
08 Sept
Johor DT
10 : 0
Damansara
04 Sept
Johor DT
3 : 0
DPMM
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Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/8-finals
Star City 2
Terengganu 4
DPMM 4
Kuching City FC 9
Melaka FC 0
Penang 5
Damansara 3
Johor DT 10
Kelantan The Real Warriors 3
Kuala Lumpur City 2
Bunga Raya FC 0
Sabah 6
Negeri Sembilan FA 5
PDRM FC 1
MUFT 1
Selangor 12
Quarter-finals
Terengganu 3
Kuching City FC 5
Penang 1
Johor DT 5
Kelantan The Real Warriors 2
Sabah 5
Negeri Sembilan FA 3
Selangor 6
Semi-finals
Kuching City FC 1
Johor DT 4
Sabah 6
Selangor 5
Final
Johor DT 5
Sabah 0