Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Penang vs Melaka FC

Malaysia Malaysia

FA Cup Bandaraya Stadium, Pulau Pinang
Penang Logo

Penang

2 - 1
FT
Melaka FC Logo

Melaka FC

Our Tip

Match Events

35' Event
Sherman K.
75' Event
Brundo S.
90' Event
Celestine E.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 2-1. This leg finished 2-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

65%
Penang
15%
Draws
20%
Melaka FC
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Penang

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

65% / High Confidence
  • Melaka FC haven't matched Penang's recent run of results.
  • Win probability leans Penang's way, sitting at 40%.
  • Penang have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Penang, who have won 3 of the last 5 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Penang have taken 5 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 65.8%
Penang Clean Sheet 20%
Melaka FC Clean Sheet 13%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Penang Melaka FC
Matches Played 32 30
Wins 12 6
Draws 8 5
Losses 12 19
Goals Scored 1.09 0.93
Goals Conceded 1.22 2.03
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 1.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 9, 2026 FA Cup
Penang vs Melaka FC
2:1
Sep 2, 2026 FA Cup
Melaka FC vs Penang
0:1
Jan 11, 2026 Super League
Penang vs Melaka FC
5:0
Sep 15, 2025 FA Cup
Penang vs Melaka FC
3:0
Aug 17, 2025 FA Cup
Melaka FC vs Penang
0:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Penang Compare

Top Goalscorer Brundo S.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Celestine E.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.87
Avg xA / game 0.56

Melaka FC Compare

Top Goalscorer Sherman K.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.59

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Penang 40 / 100
Melaka FC 27 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Penang Melaka FC

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Penang Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Melaka FC's defensive record shows goals conceded in 80% of 30 matches.

Historical meetings average 2.80 goals per match.

Penang went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Melaka FC lost 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Penang VS Melaka FC
0.5 Goals Scored 0.88
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.75
50% Over 1.5 75%
25% Over 2.5 63%
13% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Penang

(Home)
20 Sept
Penang
2 : 7
Johor DT
12 Sept
Penang
3 : 2
Kelantan Red Warrior
09 Sept
Penang
2 : 1
Melaka FC
05 Sept
Terengganu
0 : 0
Penang
02 Sept
Melaka FC
0 : 1
Penang
Page 1 of 7

Melaka FC

(Away)
12 Sept
Melaka FC
1 : 2
Kuching City FC
09 Sept
Penang
2 : 1
Melaka FC
06 Sept
Selangor
3 : 2
Melaka FC
02 Sept
Melaka FC
0 : 1
Penang
30 Aug
Melaka FC
2 : 1
Negeri Sembilan FA
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/8-finals
DPMM 5
Terengganu 4
Perak 0
Kuala Lumpur City 1
Melaka FC 1
Penang 3
Damansara 1
Johor DT 14
Kedah 2
Star City 4
Sabah 3
Selangor 4
Kelantan City 4
Negeri Sembilan FA 3
Kelantan Red Warrior 1
Kuching City FC 5
Quarter-finals
DPMM 3
Kuala Lumpur City 3
Penang 2
Johor DT 7
Star City 1
Selangor 4
Kelantan City 0
Kuching City FC 0
Semi-finals
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Final
TBD -
TBD -