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Penang vs Melaka FC - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Malaysia Malaysia

Super League Bandaraya Stadium, Pulau Pinang
Sun, Nov 1, 2026
VS
09:00 AM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Penang host Melaka FC in the Super League. Recent head-to-head results give a strong hint here. Recent numbers: Penang at 1.1 goals for, 1.33 against; Melaka FC at 0.97 for, 2.07 against. Past meetings favor Penang slightly — 5-0-0 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Sep 9, 2026, ending 2:1. xG projections (1.25 - 0.88) back Penang to edge this. The model's pick is Away (2) to win or Over 2.5 goals.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

59%
Penang
15%
Draws
26%
Melaka FC
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Penang

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

26% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Penang come out ahead of Melaka FC on wins alone.
  • 26% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Penang here — 5 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67.4%
Penang Clean Sheet 20%
Melaka FC Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Penang Melaka FC
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 11 6
Draws 8 5
Losses 11 18
Goals Scored 1.1 0.97
Goals Conceded 1.33 2.07
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 9, 2026 FA Cup
Penang vs Melaka FC
2:1
Sep 2, 2026 FA Cup
Melaka FC vs Penang
0:1
Jan 11, 2026 Super League
Penang vs Melaka FC
5:0
Sep 15, 2025 FA Cup
Penang vs Melaka FC
3:0
Aug 17, 2025 FA Cup
Melaka FC vs Penang
0:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Penang 36 / 100
Melaka FC 20 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Penang Melaka FC

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Melaka FC Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Melaka FC let in goals in 79% of their last 29 matches.

These sides typically produce 2.80 goals when they meet.

Penang went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Melaka FC's recent record shows 4 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

Penang VS Melaka FC
0.75 Goals Scored 0.88
0.88 Goals Conceded 1.75
50% Over 1.5 75%
25% Over 2.5 63%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Penang

(Home)
09 Oct
Johor DT
4 : 1
Penang
20 Sept
Penang
2 : 7
Johor DT
12 Sept
Penang
3 : 2
Kelantan Red Warrior
09 Sept
Penang
2 : 1
Melaka FC
05 Sept
Terengganu
0 : 0
Penang
Page 1 of 6

Melaka FC

(Away)
12 Sept
Melaka FC
1 : 2
Kuching City FC
09 Sept
Penang
2 : 1
Melaka FC
06 Sept
Selangor
3 : 2
Melaka FC
02 Sept
Melaka FC
0 : 1
Penang
30 Aug
Melaka FC
2 : 1
Negeri Sembilan FA
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Johor DT 5 5 0 0 25:0 15
2 Kuching City FC 5 4 0 1 15:4 12
3 Selangor 4 4 0 0 13:3 12
4 Sabah 4 2 0 2 6:5 6
5 DPMM 4 2 0 2 3:5 6
6 Kuala Lumpur City 5 2 0 3 4:13 6
7 Terengganu 4 1 2 1 4:4 5
8 Negeri Sembilan FA 4 1 1 2 6:7 4
9 Penang 4 1 1 2 3:5 4
10 Melaka FC 4 1 0 3 5:9 3
11 Star City 4 0 2 2 4:13 2
12 Kelantan Red Warrior 5 0 0 5 4:24 0
Promotion - AFC Champions League 2027/2028 (League phase)
Promotion - AFC Champions League 2 2027/2028 (Main)