Sport Picks

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Penang vs Melaka FC

Malaysia Malaysia

FA Cup Bandaraya Stadium, Pulau Pinang
Our Tip

Match Events

11' Event
Brundo S.
39' Event
Kutty H.
78'
Porteria O.

AI Match Summary

This match ends 3-0, with Penang advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
Penang
44%
Draws
20%
Melaka FC
Draw rate projection: 44% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

71% / Medium Confidence
  • Penang carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 44% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • Penang have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Penang, who have won 2 of the last 4 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Penang have won 3 of the last 4 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 66.6%
Penang Clean Sheet 20%
Melaka FC Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Penang Melaka FC
Matches Played 32 30
Wins 12 5
Draws 9 8
Losses 11 17
Goals Scored 1.25 0.88
Goals Conceded 1.5 1.13
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.50 1.13

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 11, 2026 Super League
Penang vs Melaka FC
5:0
Sep 15, 2025 FA Cup
Penang vs Melaka FC
3:0
Aug 17, 2025 FA Cup
Melaka FC vs Penang
0:2
Aug 13, 2025 Super League
Melaka FC vs Penang
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Penang Compare

Top Goalscorer Brundo S.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Kutty H.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.63

Melaka FC Compare

Avg xG / game 0.8
Avg xA / game 0.49

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Penang 36 / 100
Melaka FC 20 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Penang Melaka FC

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick MEL Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Penang scored in 66% of their last 32 games.

Melaka FC has conceded goals in 77% of their last 30 outings.

These sides typically produce 3.00 goals when they meet.

Penang went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Penang VS Melaka FC
1.25 Goals Scored 0.88
1.5 Goals Conceded 1.13
50% Over 1.5 63%
38% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Penang

(Home)
15 May
Penang
2 : 1
DPMM
08 May
PDRM FC
1 : 1
Penang
02 May
Selangor
4 : 0
Penang
26 Apr
Penang
0 : 0
Sabah
19 Apr
Sabah
1 : 0
Penang
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Melaka FC

(Away)
16 May
Star City
1 : 1
Melaka FC
09 May
Melaka FC
1 : 3
Kuching City FC
03 May
Negeri Sembilan FA
0 : 0
Melaka FC
28 Apr
Melaka FC
1 : 2
Johor DT
23 Apr
Melaka FC
1 : 0
Sabah
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Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/8-finals
Star City2
Terengganu4
DPMM4
Kuching City FC9
Melaka FC0
Penang5
Damansara3
Johor DT10
Kelantan The Real Warriors3
Kuala Lumpur City2
Bunga Raya FC0
Sabah6
Negeri Sembilan FA5
PDRM FC1
MUFT1
Selangor12
Quarter-finals
Terengganu3
Kuching City FC5
Penang1
Johor DT5
Kelantan The Real Warriors2
Sabah5
Negeri Sembilan FA3
Selangor6
Semi-finals
Kuching City FC1
Johor DT4
Sabah6
Selangor5
Final
Johor DT5
Sabah0