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Penapolense vs Jabaquara

Brazil Brazil

Paulista A4 2023
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AI Match Summary

The Paulista A4 2023 game between Penapolense and Jabaquara finished 2-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Penapolense.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

34%
Penapolense
35%
Draws
31%
Jabaquara
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

31% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Penapolense come out ahead of Jabaquara on wins alone.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 44% draw probability.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.2%
Penapolense Clean Sheet 20%
Jabaquara Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Penapolense Jabaquara
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 12 9
Draws 13 6
Losses 5 15
Goals Scored 1.43 0.87
Goals Conceded 0.97 1.1
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 1.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 18, 2026 Paulista A4
Penapolense vs Jabaquara
3:2
Feb 22, 2025 Paulista A4
Jabaquara vs Penapolense
2:1
Feb 24, 2024 Paulista A4
Penapolense vs Jabaquara
4:1
Aug 12, 2023 Paulista A4
Penapolense vs Jabaquara
2:0
Aug 5, 2023 Paulista A4
Jabaquara vs Penapolense
1:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Penapolense 36 / 100
Jabaquara 20 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Penapolense Jabaquara

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Jabaquara Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 3.40 goals.

Penapolense has registered 5 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Attacking prowess: Penapolense scored in 73% of their last 30 outings.

Jabaquara has conceded goals in 77% of their last 30 outings.

Scoring Trends

Penapolense VS Jabaquara
1.63 Goals Scored 1.63
0.5 Goals Conceded 1.13
63% Over 1.5 75%
25% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Penapolense

(Home)
09 May
Inter de Bebedouro
1 : 1
Penapolense
06 May
Penapolense
2 : 1
Inter de Bebedouro
02 May
Sao Caetano
2 : 2
Penapolense
25 Apr
Penapolense
2 : 1
Sao Caetano
18 Apr
Penapolense
2 : 2
Taquaritinga
Page 1 of 6

Jabaquara

(Away)
04 Apr
AEA Aracatuba
0 : 3
Jabaquara
28 Mar
Jabaquara
2 : 1
Comercial
25 Mar
Lemense
0 : 0
Jabaquara
21 Mar
Jabaquara
1 : 1
Taquaritinga
18 Mar
Penapolense
3 : 2
Jabaquara
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Uniao Sao Joao 6 2 4 0 5:3 10
2 Nacional SP 6 2 3 1 4:4 9
3 XV de Jau 6 2 1 3 5:5 7
4 Jacarei FC 6 1 2 3 4:6 5
Promotion - Paulista A4 2023 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Catanduva FC 6 3 3 0 7:4 12
2 Rio Branco SP 6 2 2 2 9:7 8
3 Penapolense 6 1 4 1 6:5 7
4 Jabaquara 6 0 3 3 3:9 3
Promotion - Paulista A4 2023 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Uniao Barbarense 6 2 4 0 3:1 10
2 America SP 6 1 4 1 8:8 7
3 Sao-Carlense 6 2 1 3 5:6 7
4 Vocem 6 1 3 2 6:7 6
Promotion - Paulista A4 2023 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Francana 6 4 1 1 10:6 13
2 Taquaritinga 6 4 0 2 9:6 12
3 SKA Brasil 6 3 1 2 7:6 10
4 Independente SP 6 0 0 6 3:11 0
Promotion - Paulista A4 2023 (Play Offs)