Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Penapolense vs Manthiqueira Prediction & H2H Stats

Brazil Brazil

Paulista A4 2022
Penapolense Logo

Penapolense

5 - 0
FT
Manthiqueira Logo

Manthiqueira

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Penapolense in this Paulista A4 2022 matchup, with the score ending 5-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Penapolense.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

42%
Penapolense
30%
Draws
28%
Manthiqueira
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Penapolense

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

42% / Low Confidence
  • Manthiqueira haven't matched Penapolense's recent run of results.
  • 42% — that's where the model lands on Penapolense taking it.
  • Regular Paulista A4 2022 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 38%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73%
Penapolense Clean Sheet 20%
Manthiqueira Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Penapolense Manthiqueira
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 12 10
Draws 13 4
Losses 5 16
Goals Scored 1.43 1.4
Goals Conceded 0.97 2.03
Expected Goals (xG) 1.94 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 24, 2022 Paulista A4
Penapolense vs Manthiqueira
5:0
Jul 16, 2022 Paulista A4
Manthiqueira vs Penapolense
3:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Penapolense 49 / 100
Manthiqueira 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Penapolense Manthiqueira

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Penapolense Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Manthiqueira let in goals in 90% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 5.00 goals.

Recent resilience: Penapolense stayed unbeaten in 5 of the last 5 games.

Penapolense scored in 73% of their last 30 games.

Scoring Trends

Penapolense VS Manthiqueira
2 Goals Scored 1.25
1 Goals Conceded 1.88
88% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Penapolense

(Home)
09 May
Inter de Bebedouro
1 : 1
Penapolense
06 May
Penapolense
2 : 1
Inter de Bebedouro
02 May
Sao Caetano
2 : 2
Penapolense
25 Apr
Penapolense
2 : 1
Sao Caetano
18 Apr
Penapolense
2 : 2
Taquaritinga
Page 1 of 6

Manthiqueira

(Away)
05 Jul
Jose Bonifacio EC
2 : 1
Manthiqueira
27 Jun
Manthiqueira
0 : 2
Jose Bonifacio EC
20 Jun
Manthiqueira
2 : 1
Mauaense
14 Jun
Barcelona SP
1 : 5
Manthiqueira
06 Jun
Manthiqueira
0 : 2
Itaqua
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Sao-Carlense 6 5 1 0 12:4 16
2 Penapolense 6 2 2 2 13:9 8
3 Paulista 6 1 2 3 4:6 5
4 Manthiqueira 6 1 1 4 5:15 4
Promotion - Paulista A4 2022 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Gremio Prudente 6 4 2 0 12:4 14
2 XV de Jau 6 4 0 2 9:7 12
3 Maua FC 6 1 2 3 4:8 5
4 Rio Branco SP 6 1 0 5 6:12 3
Promotion - Paulista A4 2022 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Flamengo SP 6 5 1 0 9:2 16
2 Inter de Bebedouro 6 2 2 2 7:5 8
3 Jacarei FC 6 1 2 3 4:8 5
4 Taquaritinga 6 1 1 4 3:8 4
Promotion - Paulista A4 2022 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Itapirense 6 4 1 1 8:5 13
2 AA Itarare 6 2 3 1 10:8 9
3 Catanduva FC 6 1 4 1 13:11 7
4 SKA Brasil 6 0 2 4 8:15 2
Promotion - Paulista A4 2022 (Play Offs)