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Stadium Background

Penarol U20 vs Benfica U19

World World

Intercontinental Cup U20 2022 Estadio Centenario, Montevideo
Our Tip

Match Events

52'
Garcia D.
64'
Sub
Resende J. In: Semedo L.
Out: Resende J.
69' Event
Semedo L.

AI Match Summary

This match ends 0-1, with Benfica U19 advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Penarol U20
15%
Draws
45%
Benfica U19
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Benfica U19

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

45% / Medium Confidence
  • Benfica U19 carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
  • Benfica U19 arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Benfica U19, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73%
Penarol U20 Clean Sheet 10%
Benfica U19 Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Penarol U20 Benfica U19
Matches Played 11 30
Wins 7 19
Draws 1 7
Losses 3 4
Goals Scored 2 2.57
Goals Conceded 1 1.1
Expected Goals (xG) 1.29 1.86
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 21, 2022 Intercontinental Cup U20
Penarol U20 vs Benfica U19
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Penarol U20 Compare

Avg xG / game 0.99
Avg xA / game 0.65

Benfica U19 Compare

Top Goalscorer Semedo L.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.69
Avg xA / game 1.03

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Penarol U20 30 / 100
Benfica U19 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Penarol U20 Benfica U19

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick BEN Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Penarol U20 found the back of the net in 82% of recent matches (11 games).

Solid form: Penarol U20 remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Defensive concern: Benfica U19 conceded in 53% of 30 recent games.

H2H data points to 1.00 goals as a typical output.

Scoring Trends

- VS Benfica U19
0 Goals Scored 2.63
0 Goals Conceded 1.38
0% Over 1.5 88%
0% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Penarol U20

(Home)
16 Jul
Penarol U20
2 : 3
Cerro Porteno U20
13 Jul
Penarol U20
0 : 1
Boca Juniors U20
07 Jul
O'Higgins U20
1 : 2
Penarol U20
04 Jul
Penarol U20
4 : 1
Alianza Lima U20
01 Jul
Penarol U20
5 : 1
Caracas U20
Page 1 of 3

Benfica U19

(Away)
16 May
Famalicao U19
2 : 1
Benfica U19
10 May
Benfica U19
5 : 2
Leiria U19
06 May
Benfica U19
2 : 1
Rio Ave U19
02 May
Benfica U19
6 : 0
Gil Vicente U19
25 Apr
FC Porto U19
3 : 3
Benfica U19
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Final
Penarol U20 0
Benfica U19 1