Sport Picks
Penarol vs Cerro Largo
Uruguay
Liga AUF Uruguaya Campeón del Siglo, Montevideo 
AI Match Summary
Penarol host Cerro Largo in the Liga AUF Uruguaya. Little to choose between these two on current form. Penarol have averaged 1.25 scored and 1.13 conceded recently, against Cerro Largo's 1.13 scored and 0.63 conceded. Head-to-head, Penarol have won 2 to Cerro Largo's 1, with 2 draws. They last met on May 11, 2026, ending 2:3. Model xG sits at 0.94 vs 1.13, favoring Penarol. Away (2) are the model's selection here, or BTTS: NG.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
- Look at the last few games and Penarol come out ahead of Cerro Largo on wins alone.
- Model puts this one close, with a 44% draw probability.
- Regular Liga AUF Uruguaya form gives a decent read on both sides.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Penarol | Cerro Largo |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 36 | 28 |
| Wins | 19 | 10 |
| Draws | 7 | 6 |
| Losses | 10 | 12 |
| Goals Scored | 1.25 | 1.13 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.13 | 0.63 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.25 | 1.13 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.13 | 0.63 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Attack & Defence Capability Index
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Penarol scored in 83% of their last 36 games.
Cerro Largo has conceded goals in 71% of their last 28 outings.
Historical meetings average 2.60 goals per match.
Penarol has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.
Scoring Trends
Recent Form & Match History
Penarol
(Home)Cerro Largo
(Away)League Standings (Group 1)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Penarol | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 9:3 | 13 |
| 2 | Cerro Largo | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 6:2 | 8 |
| 3 | Central Esp. | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 4:3 | 8 |
| 4 | Racing Montevideo | 5 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 3:2 | 7 |
| 5 | CA Cerro | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 4:8 | 6 |
| 6 | Liverpool M. | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 3:4 | 5 |
| 7 | Boston River | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 5:9 | 5 |
| 8 | Defensor Sp. | 5 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 3:6 | 3 |
League Standings (Group 2)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Wanderers | 6 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 10:4 | 12 |
| 2 | Maldonado | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 12:6 | 11 |
| 3 | Club Nacional | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 6:7 | 10 |
| 4 | Montevideo City | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 10:9 | 9 |
| 5 | Juventud | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 8:11 | 7 |
| 6 | Progreso | 6 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 5:9 | 6 |
| 7 | Albion | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4:6 | 5 |
| 8 | Danubio | 5 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 3:6 | 3 |