Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Penarol vs RB do Norte

Brazil Brazil

Amazonense 2
Penarol Logo

Penarol

2 - 9
FT
RB do Norte Logo

RB do Norte

Our Tip

Match Events

6' Event
Paulo
16' Event
Vinicius
42' Event
Eldem
(Penalty)
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

RB do Norte in this Amazonense 2 matchup, with the score ending 2-9 — backing the pre-match view that favored RB do Norte.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

17%
Penarol
15%
Draws
68%
RB do Norte
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: RB do Norte

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

68% / High Confidence
  • Penarol haven't matched RB do Norte's recent run of results.
  • 68% — that's where the model lands on RB do Norte taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.6%
Penarol Clean Sheet 10%
RB do Norte Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Penarol RB do Norte
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 10 12
Draws 4 4
Losses 16 13
Goals Scored 0.97 1.97
Goals Conceded 2.37 2.28
Expected Goals (xG) 1.19 1.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 30, 2026 Amazonense 2
Penarol vs RB do Norte
2:9
Jun 22, 2025 Amazonense 2
RB do Norte vs Penarol
0:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Penarol Compare

Top Goalscorer Froes E. B.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.92
Avg xA / game 0.59

RB do Norte Compare

Top Goalscorer Paulo
2 Goals
Assists Leader Areia C.
2 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.76
Avg xA / game 1.08

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Penarol 10 / 100
RB do Norte 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Penarol RB do Norte

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick RB do Norte Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 6.50 goals as a typical output.

Penarol found the back of the net in 67% of recent matches (30 games).

RB do Norte let in goals in 79% of their last 29 matches.

Recent resilience: Penarol stayed unbeaten in 1 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Penarol VS RB do Norte
1 Goals Scored 1.88
2 Goals Conceded 1.38
88% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Penarol

(Home)
30 Aug
Penarol
2 : 9
RB do Norte
26 Aug
Penarol
1 : 5
Fast Clube
21 Aug
Cliper
1 : 2
Penarol
12 Aug
Penarol
0 : 3
Manicore
09 Aug
Operario Esporte Clube
4 : 0
Penarol
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RB do Norte

(Away)
09 Sept
RB do Norte
0 : 1
Fast Clube
05 Sept
RB do Norte
1 : 0
Manicore
30 Aug
Penarol
2 : 9
RB do Norte
26 Aug
Manicore
1 : 3
RB do Norte
15 Aug
RB do Norte
6 : 1
Unidos do Alvorada
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 RB do Norte 6 5 1 0 23:6 16
2 Fast Clube 6 4 2 0 16:4 14
3 Operario Esporte Clube 6 4 0 2 23:5 12
4 Manicore 6 3 1 2 14:11 10
5 Cliper 6 1 0 5 10:23 3
6 Unidos do Alvorada 6 1 0 5 12:27 3
7 Penarol 6 1 0 5 6:28 3
Promotion - Amazonense 2 (Play Offs)