Sport Picks
Match Events
24'
24'
Remedi E.
41'
41'
Hernandez A.
46'
46'
Sub
Pezzella G. In: Ferreira L.
Out: Pezzella G.
AI Match Summary
The Liga AUF Uruguaya game between Penarol and Wanderers finished 1-1.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
28%
35%
37%
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Wanderers
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
28%
/ Low Confidence
- Penarol carry the better recent record into this one.
- Penarol are the model's pick here, at 50%.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 81.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32.8%
Penarol Clean Sheet 68%
Wanderers Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Penarol | Wanderers |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 33 | 31 |
| Wins | 15 | 13 |
| Draws | 11 | 8 |
| Losses | 7 | 10 |
| Goals Scored | 1.39 | 1.32 |
| Goals Conceded | 0.82 | 1.42 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.56 | 1.06 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Oct 31, 2026 Liga AUF Uruguaya
Penarol vs Wanderers
1:1
Aug 5, 2026 Liga AUF Uruguaya
Penarol vs Wanderers
5:1
Apr 26, 2026 Liga AUF Uruguaya
Wanderers vs Penarol
1:0
Oct 19, 2025 Liga AUF Uruguaya
Penarol vs Wanderers
3:0
Jun 22, 2025 Liga AUF Uruguaya
Penarol vs Wanderers
2:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Penarol Compare
Top Goalscorer Angulo L.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.2
Avg xA / game 0.78
Wanderers Compare
Top Goalscorer Labandeira F.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.59
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Penarol 59 / 100
Wanderers 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Penarol Wanderers
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Penarol Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Penarol scored in 73% of their last 33 games.
Defensive concern: Wanderers conceded in 68% of 31 recent games.
These sides typically produce 2.80 goals when they meet.
Solid form: Penarol remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.
Scoring Trends
Penarol VS Wanderers
1.38 Goals Scored 1.25
0.88 Goals Conceded 1.75
75% Over 1.5 88%
38% Over 2.5 63%
13% Over 3.5 38%
Recent Form & Match History
Penarol
(Home) 31 Oct
Penarol
1 : 1 Wanderers
27 Oct
Penarol
0 : 2 Montevideo City
23 Oct
Juventud
0 : 0 Penarol
18 Oct
Liverpool M.
1 : 0 Penarol
10 Oct
Penarol
1 : 1 Progreso
Page 1 of 7
31 Oct
Penarol
1 : 1 Wanderers
27 Oct
Penarol
0 : 2 Montevideo City
10 Oct
Penarol
1 : 1 Progreso
26 Sept
Penarol
2 : 1 Boston River
13 Sept
Penarol
3 : 1 Albion
Page 1 of 4
Wanderers
(Away) 31 Oct
Penarol
1 : 1 Wanderers
25 Oct
Wanderers
0 : 1 Progreso
17 Oct
Racing Montevideo
3 : 0 Wanderers
10 Oct
Wanderers
1 : 3 Boston River
07 Oct
Cerrito
2 : 3 Wanderers
Page 1 of 7
31 Oct
Penarol
1 : 1 Wanderers
17 Oct
Racing Montevideo
3 : 0 Wanderers
07 Oct
Cerrito
2 : 3 Wanderers
04 Oct
CA Cerro
0 : 2 Wanderers
20 Sept
Danubio
1 : 1 Wanderers
Page 1 of 4
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Liverpool M. | 13 | 9 | 3 | 1 | 22:8 | 30 |
| 2 | Montevideo City | 13 | 9 | 1 | 3 | 26:14 | 28 |
| 3 | Club Nacional | 13 | 8 | 2 | 3 | 19:13 | 26 |
| 4 | Maldonado | 13 | 6 | 4 | 3 | 18:10 | 22 |
| 5 | Penarol | 13 | 6 | 5 | 2 | 17:9 | 22 |
| 6 | Racing Montevideo | 13 | 5 | 4 | 4 | 18:14 | 19 |
| 7 | Progreso | 13 | 6 | 1 | 6 | 13:15 | 19 |
| 8 | Juventud | 13 | 4 | 6 | 3 | 12:10 | 18 |
| 9 | CA Cerro | 13 | 5 | 3 | 5 | 15:19 | 18 |
| 10 | Wanderers | 13 | 4 | 4 | 5 | 14:19 | 16 |
| 11 | Boston River | 13 | 4 | 3 | 6 | 15:17 | 15 |
| 12 | Albion | 13 | 4 | 1 | 8 | 15:20 | 13 |
| 13 | Defensor Sp. | 13 | 3 | 3 | 7 | 16:23 | 12 |
| 14 | Danubio | 13 | 2 | 4 | 7 | 7:15 | 10 |
| 15 | Cerro Largo | 13 | 1 | 6 | 6 | 10:17 | 9 |
| 16 | Central Esp. | 13 | 2 | 2 | 9 | 8:22 | 8 |
Promotion - Liga AUF Uruguaya (Play Offs)
